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View PropertiesAs of Apr, 27 2026
Rabbu ROI Score
Breckenridge presents a competitive opportunity: investor interest and demand are strong, but higher prices or tighter competition may require more selective deal sourcing.
Breckenridge, TX is a small, lake-oriented market with just 29 active Airbnb listings and average annual revenue of $15,602 per property. While the supply-demand balance is favorable and listing growth has jumped 32% year-over-year, occupancy sits at 27% — below the Texas state average of 33% — which means investors need to be deliberate about property selection and pricing strategy. Average home values around $312,635 paired with modest revenue make this a competitive opportunity where deals need to pencil out carefully.
According to Rabbu market data, the Breckenridge short-term rental market shows:
| Metric | Context | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Active Airbnb Listings | As of Apr, 27 2026 | 29 |
| Average Daily Rate (ADR) | vs. $276 state avg. | $178 |
| Average Occupancy Rate | vs. 33% state avg. | 27% |
| RevPAN | ADR * Occupancy Rate | $47 |
| Average Monthly Revenue | Historical 12-month average | $1,300 |
| Average Annual Revenue | Historical 12-month average | $15,602 |
Data sources: Rabbu proprietary analytics as of Apr, 27 2026 and Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) as of Apr, 27 2026.
Investors look at Breckenridge for its favorable supply-demand dynamics and lake-driven leisure demand, though below-average occupancy requires careful deal selection.
Key investment factors
"Breckenridge presents a competitive opportunity that requires selective deal sourcing rather than broad deployment. The market's strength lies in its small supply base and lake-driven demand, but a 27% occupancy rate and $47 RevPAN indicate that listings spend a lot of nights empty. Revenue is heavily seasonal — May stands out at $2,288, while January dips to just $244 — so investors should expect to ride out meaningful slow stretches. Properties that lean into the lake lifestyle with the right amenities and competitive pricing will be best positioned to outperform in this modest-sized market."
— Rabbu Market Analysis Team
Breckenridge shows pronounced seasonality, with May ($2,288) and August ($1,862) delivering the highest average revenue while January bottoms out at just $244. The nearly 10x spread between peak and trough months means investors should budget for significant off-season shortfalls and focus marketing efforts on the May–September window.
| Month | Trend | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| January |
|
$244 |
| February |
|
$886 |
| March |
|
$1,477 |
| April |
|
$710 |
| May |
|
$2,288 |
| June |
|
$1,151 |
| July |
|
$1,318 |
| August |
|
$1,862 |
| September |
|
$1,620 |
| October |
|
$1,221 |
| November |
|
$1,563 |
| December |
|
$1,258 |
One-bedroom units dominate supply with 11 of the market's 29 listings, followed by 3-bedrooms (7) and 2-bedrooms (6). The relatively even split across sizes means there's no dramatically underserved category, though the 2-bedroom segment is the thinnest and may offer slightly less competition.
| Size | Trend | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 bedroom |
|
11 |
| 2 bedrooms |
|
6 |
| 3 bedrooms |
|
7 |
ADR climbs modestly with size — from $129 for 1-bedrooms to $182 for 2-bedrooms and $187 for 3-bedrooms. The jump from 1 to 2 bedrooms is the most significant at $53/night, while the premium for adding a third bedroom is marginal at just $5, suggesting 2-bedroom properties may hit the best rate-to-cost sweet spot.
| Size | Trend | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 bedroom |
|
$129 |
| 2 bedrooms |
|
$182 |
| 3 bedrooms |
|
$187 |
One-bedroom listings lead in RevPAN at $49, outperforming 2-bedrooms ($44) and 3-bedrooms ($36) thanks to their higher occupancy rates offsetting lower nightly rates. This signals that smaller, more affordable properties generate the most efficient revenue per available night in Breckenridge.
| Size | Trend | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 bedroom |
|
$49 |
| 2 bedrooms |
|
$44 |
| 3 bedrooms |
|
$36 |
Occupancy drops sharply as property size increases: 1-bedrooms fill 38% of available nights, 2-bedrooms 24%, and 3-bedrooms just 19%. For investors prioritizing cash-flow consistency, smaller units offer meaningfully more predictable booking activity in this market.
| Size | Trend | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 bedroom |
|
38% |
| 2 bedrooms |
|
24% |
| 3 bedrooms |
|
19% |
Two-bedroom properties edge out the field with $1,396 in average monthly revenue, while 3-bedrooms generate $1,315 and 1-bedrooms $1,211. The differences are relatively narrow across all sizes, suggesting that property type matters less than pricing strategy and seasonal management in this market.
| Size | Trend | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 bedroom |
|
$1,211 |
| 2 bedrooms |
|
$1,396 |
| 3 bedrooms |
|
$1,315 |
Two-bedroom properties lead annual revenue at $16,762, followed by 3-bedrooms at $15,786 and 1-bedrooms at $14,536. Given the modest spread of roughly $2,200 between the highest and lowest earners, investors should weigh acquisition cost and maintenance expenses heavily when choosing a property configuration.
| Size | Trend | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 bedroom |
|
$14,536 |
| 2 bedrooms |
|
$16,762 |
| 3 bedrooms |
|
$15,786 |
Parking (90%) and self check-in (72%) top the amenity list, reflecting a market geared toward drive-to guests who expect convenience. Lake access (35%) and waterfront positioning (24%) are present in a meaningful share of listings, signaling that proximity to water is a key differentiator — and pet-friendliness (59%) suggests guests frequently bring the whole family, dogs included.
| Amenity | Trend | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Parking |
|
90% |
| Self Check-in |
|
72% |
| Kitchen |
|
69% |
| Pets |
|
59% |
| BBQ Grill |
|
55% |
| Washer |
|
55% |
| Dryer |
|
48% |
| Patio or Balcony |
|
45% |
| Workspace |
|
45% |
| Backyard |
|
38% |
| Outdoor Furniture |
|
38% |
| Lake Access |
|
35% |
| Waterfront |
|
24% |
| Beach Access |
|
3% |
Rabbu's ROI Score is a proprietary metric that evaluates short-term rental investment potential based on multiple factors.
| Factor | Breckenridge Performance | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue-to-Price Ratio | Average | 40% |
| Occupancy Stability | Below average | 30% |
| Market Growth Trend | Average | 15% |
| Supply/Demand Balance | Above average | 15% |
Breckenridge's ROI score of 38 out of 100 places it in the "Competitive Opportunity" band, meaning the market has appeal but requires more careful deal sourcing. The revenue-to-price ratio and market growth trend both register as average, while occupancy stability falls below average — the one factor that weighs on the overall score most. On the positive side, a favorable supply-demand balance suggests there's room for well-positioned listings; pairing this data with thorough local regulatory research and conservative underwriting will help investors identify the deals that actually work here.
Understanding local STR regulations is essential before investing in Breckenridge. Here's the current regulatory landscape:
Operators considering short-term rentals in Breckenridge, TX should check with the City of Breckenridge and Stephens County for any permit, registration, or licensing requirements that may apply. Texas does not impose a statewide STR permit but local jurisdictions may have their own rules.
Common restrictions that may apply include occupancy limits, noise ordinances, parking requirements, and minimum stay rules. Additionally, investors should verify any HOA covenants or deed restrictions on a property-by-property basis, as these can prohibit or limit short-term rental activity regardless of local law.
Texas requires collection of the state hotel occupancy tax (currently 6%) and most municipalities impose their own local hotel occupancy tax on stays of fewer than 30 days. Many booking platforms collect and remit these taxes automatically, but hosts should confirm remittance status and any additional county-level obligations.
Regulations subject to change. Always verify with local authorities before purchasing. A Rabbu partner agent specializing in Breckenridge can provide current regulatory guidance.
Financing an Airbnb investment in Breckenridge requires lenders who understand STR income. Rabbu partner lenders offer:
"Over the next 12–18 months, Breckenridge's STR market is likely to see continued supply growth given the 32% year-over-year increase in listings, which could put additional pressure on occupancy unless demand keeps pace. Seasonal peaks in May and August suggest summer lake tourism will remain the primary revenue driver, with monthly earnings potentially ranging from $250 in the slowest months to over $2,200 during peak periods. ADR may hold steady or see modest 1–3% adjustments as new listings enter the market and compete for a limited guest pool. Investors should plan for significant revenue swings between seasons and build conservative cash-flow projections."
— Rabbu Market Analysis Team
Rabbu provides Airbnb and short-term rental market data and statistics across the United States. Our mission is to empower investors with accurate insights and easy-to-use tools, so they can confidently identify and act on the best opportunities in the Airbnb market.
Rabbu proprietary analytics as of Apr, 27 2026 and Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) as of Apr, 27 2026. Revenue projections are estimates based on comparable properties and do not guarantee future performance. Data reflects trailing 12-month averages and market conditions may have shifted since the most recent update. Local regulations, HOA rules, and tax obligations vary and should be independently verified before investing.
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