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Rabbu ROI Score
Carlton presents a competitive opportunity: investor interest and demand are strong, but higher prices or tighter competition may require more selective deal sourcing.
Carlton, Oregon—nestled in the heart of Willamette Valley wine country—offers a niche short-term rental market with just 22 active Airbnb listings and average annual revenue of $39,577 per property. While occupancy sits at 23% (below the 33% state average), the market's strong seasonal peaks and premium daily rates of $311 signal a destination-driven demand pattern tied to wine tourism and weekend getaways. With listing counts growing 129% year-over-year, investor interest is clearly accelerating, though selective deal sourcing will be essential given average home values of $868,374.
According to Rabbu market data, the Carlton short-term rental market shows:
| Metric | Context | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Active Airbnb Listings | As of Apr, 27 2026 | 22 |
| Average Daily Rate (ADR) | vs. $383 state avg. | $311 |
| Average Occupancy Rate | vs. 33% state avg. | 23% |
| RevPAN | ADR * Occupancy Rate | $71 |
| Average Monthly Revenue | Historical 12-month average | $3,298 |
| Average Annual Revenue | Historical 12-month average | $39,577 |
Data sources: Rabbu proprietary analytics as of Apr, 27 2026 and Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) as of Apr, 27 2026.
Carlton's appeal lies in its positioning as a Willamette Valley wine country destination with limited STR supply, premium nightly rates, and a rapidly growing investor interest that signals confidence in the market's demand drivers.
Key investment factors
"Carlton represents a competitive but selective opportunity, earning an ROI score of 54 out of 100. Revenue peaks strongly in summer—August alone averages $5,463 per listing—while winter months dip to the $1,400 range, creating a pronounced seasonal curve that investors must plan around. The market's small supply base and wine country positioning support premium pricing, but the 23% average occupancy rate and high home values mean returns hinge on choosing the right property size and optimizing for peak-season capture. Three-bedroom units clearly outperform two-bedrooms across every metric, making them the more compelling configuration for investors evaluating this market."
— Rabbu Market Analysis Team
Carlton's revenue exhibits sharp seasonality, with August ($5,463) and July ($5,305) delivering nearly four times the revenue of January ($1,371). The summer-to-winter spread underscores that this is a warm-weather destination market, and investors should budget for several months of below-average returns from November through March.
| Month | Trend | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| January |
|
$1,371 |
| February |
|
$1,764 |
| March |
|
$2,276 |
| April |
|
$2,439 |
| May |
|
$3,538 |
| June |
|
$4,224 |
| July |
|
$5,305 |
| August |
|
$5,463 |
| September |
|
$4,545 |
| October |
|
$3,666 |
| November |
|
$2,835 |
| December |
|
$2,146 |
The market's supply is concentrated in 2-bedroom and 3-bedroom properties, each with 8 active listings. The absence of reported 1-bedroom or 4+ bedroom listings could signal a gap—particularly for larger group accommodations catering to wine-tasting parties or family gatherings.
| Size | Trend | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 2 bedrooms |
|
8 |
| 3 bedrooms |
|
8 |
Three-bedroom properties command $297 per night compared to $254 for 2-bedrooms, a roughly 17% premium for one additional bedroom. Given that the cost differential in acquisition may be modest relative to the rate uplift, 3-bedroom units appear to offer a stronger pricing position in this market.
| Size | Trend | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 2 bedrooms |
|
$254 |
| 3 bedrooms |
|
$297 |
RevPAN for 3-bedroom listings reaches $83 versus $56 for 2-bedrooms, a 48% advantage that reflects both higher nightly rates and better occupancy. This makes 3-bedroom properties the clear efficiency leader in Carlton when measuring revenue generated per available night.
| Size | Trend | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 2 bedrooms |
|
$56 |
| 3 bedrooms |
|
$83 |
Three-bedroom properties fill 28% of available nights compared to 22% for 2-bedrooms, both below the Oregon state average of 33%. While neither size delivers strong year-round occupancy, the 6-percentage-point gap favoring larger units suggests guests in Carlton tend to book properties that accommodate groups rather than couples.
| Size | Trend | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 2 bedrooms |
|
22% |
| 3 bedrooms |
|
28% |
Three-bedroom units generate $4,304 per month on average, outpacing 2-bedrooms at $3,083 by roughly 40%. This $1,221 monthly gap adds up to a meaningful annual difference and reinforces the case for targeting larger property configurations in this wine country market.
| Size | Trend | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 2 bedrooms |
|
$3,083 |
| 3 bedrooms |
|
$4,304 |
At $51,649 annually, 3-bedroom properties outperform 2-bedrooms ($36,997) by nearly $15,000 per year. For investors evaluating Carlton, the 3-bedroom configuration presents the strongest revenue potential, though returns should be weighed against the market's average home value of $868,374.
| Size | Trend | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 2 bedrooms |
|
$36,997 |
| 3 bedrooms |
|
$51,649 |
Every listing in Carlton offers parking (100%), and kitchens (96%), self check-in (86%), and washer/dryer combos (82–86%) are near-universal—signaling that guests expect a fully self-sufficient stay experience. Outdoor amenities like backyards (77%), BBQ grills (73%), and outdoor furniture (68%) are also common, reflecting the wine country lifestyle, while hot tubs (14%) and pools (5%) remain rare differentiators that could help a listing stand out.
| Amenity | Trend | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Parking |
|
100% |
| Kitchen |
|
96% |
| Self Check-in |
|
86% |
| Washer |
|
86% |
| Dryer |
|
82% |
| Backyard |
|
77% |
| BBQ Grill |
|
73% |
| Outdoor Furniture |
|
68% |
| Workspace |
|
64% |
| Patio or Balcony |
|
59% |
| Pets |
|
50% |
| Hot Tub |
|
14% |
| EV Charger |
|
9% |
| Pool |
|
5% |
Rabbu's ROI Score is a proprietary metric that evaluates short-term rental investment potential based on multiple factors.
| Factor | Carlton Performance | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue-to-Price Ratio | Average | 40% |
| Occupancy Stability | Average | 30% |
| Market Growth Trend | Average | 15% |
| Supply/Demand Balance | Average | 15% |
Carlton's ROI score of 54 out of 100 places it in the 'Competitive Opportunity' band, meaning the fundamentals are there but the math requires careful deal selection. All four calculation factors—revenue-to-price ratio, occupancy stability, market growth trend, and supply/demand balance—land at 'Average,' suggesting no single metric is holding the market back dramatically, but none is outperforming either. Investors should pair this score with thorough local regulatory research and focus on 3-bedroom properties, where revenue metrics are meaningfully stronger, to tilt the numbers in their favor.
Understanding local STR regulations is essential before investing in Carlton. Here's the current regulatory landscape:
Short-term rental operators in Carlton, Oregon may need to obtain a local business license or STR permit, and Yamhill County may impose additional requirements. Investors should verify current registration and permitting obligations directly with the City of Carlton and Yamhill County planning departments before listing a property.
Common STR restrictions in Oregon communities can include occupancy limits based on bedroom count, noise and nuisance ordinances, parking requirements for guests, and minimum-stay rules during certain periods. HOA covenants may also prohibit or restrict short-term rentals in some neighborhoods, so reviewing CC&Rs is an important step before purchasing.
Oregon requires collection of state transient lodging tax, and Yamhill County imposes its own transient room tax on short-term stays. Platforms like Airbnb often collect and remit some of these taxes automatically, but hosts should confirm their full tax obligations with local authorities to ensure compliance.
Regulations subject to change. Always verify with local authorities before purchasing. A Rabbu partner agent specializing in Carlton can provide current regulatory guidance.
Financing an Airbnb investment in Carlton requires lenders who understand STR income. Rabbu partner lenders offer:
"Over the next 12–18 months, Carlton's STR market is likely to see continued supply growth as more investors recognize the wine country opportunity, though the pace of 129% listing growth may moderate as the market matures. Summer months should remain the revenue engine, with July and August historically generating $5,300–$5,400 per listing, while winter months may stay soft around $1,400–$1,800. ADR could see modest upward pressure in the 2–4% range during peak season given the experiential nature of the market, though occupancy rates will need to stabilize or improve for overall returns to strengthen meaningfully. Investors entering now should plan for pronounced seasonality and build cash reserves to cover quieter months from November through March."
— Rabbu Market Analysis Team
Rabbu provides Airbnb and short-term rental market data and statistics across the United States. Our mission is to empower investors with accurate insights and easy-to-use tools, so they can confidently identify and act on the best opportunities in the Airbnb market.
Rabbu proprietary analytics as of Apr, 27 2026 and Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) as of Apr, 27 2026. Revenue projections are estimates based on comparable properties and do not guarantee future performance. Data reflects trailing 12-month averages and market conditions may have shifted since the most recent update. Local regulations, HOA rules, and tax obligations vary and should be independently verified before investing.
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