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View PropertiesAs of Apr, 27 2026
Rabbu ROI Score
Carmel Valley presents a competitive opportunity: investor interest and demand are strong, but higher prices or tighter competition may require more selective deal sourcing.
Carmel Valley offers a premium short-term rental landscape where high daily rates and scenic appeal draw affluent travelers, but steep home prices temper overall ROI. With an average daily rate of $519 and annual revenue averaging $78,917 across just 38 active listings, the market remains small and selective. Occupancy sits at 29%—well below the California state average of 43%—which means success here hinges on capturing peak-season demand and pricing strategically during quieter months.
According to Rabbu market data, the Carmel Valley short-term rental market shows:
| Metric | Context | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Active Airbnb Listings | As of Apr, 27 2026 | 38 |
| Average Daily Rate (ADR) | vs. $551 state avg. | $519 |
| Average Occupancy Rate | vs. 43% state avg. | 29% |
| RevPAN | ADR * Occupancy Rate | $148 |
| Average Monthly Revenue | Historical 12-month average | $6,576 |
| Average Annual Revenue | Historical 12-month average | $78,917 |
Data sources: Rabbu proprietary analytics as of Apr, 27 2026 and Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) as of Apr, 27 2026.
Investors look at Carmel Valley for its premium nightly rates and limited supply in one of California's most desirable coastal corridors, though high home values demand careful deal sourcing.
Key investment factors
"Carmel Valley represents a competitive opportunity best suited for investors who can source deals selectively in a high-price environment. The market's pronounced seasonality—revenues nearly triple from January's $3,895 to August's $10,662—means cash-flow planning around the summer peak is essential. Above-average occupancy stability is a positive signal, but the below-average revenue-to-price ratio driven by $2.29M average home values means investors need to target properties where pricing, amenities, and guest experience can push performance above market averages. With supply growing quickly at 161% year-over-year, timing and property differentiation matter more than ever."
— Rabbu Market Analysis Team
Carmel Valley shows sharp seasonality, with August peaking at $10,662 in average monthly revenue—nearly 2.7 times January's low of $3,895. The summer months of June through September consistently outperform, while the November–February stretch represents the softest period, signaling that investors should budget conservatively for winter months and maximize pricing during the warm-weather window.
| Month | Trend | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| January |
|
$3,895 |
| February |
|
$4,633 |
| March |
|
$5,628 |
| April |
|
$6,673 |
| May |
|
$6,628 |
| June |
|
$8,262 |
| July |
|
$9,593 |
| August |
|
$10,662 |
| September |
|
$7,239 |
| October |
|
$5,819 |
| November |
|
$5,276 |
| December |
|
$4,604 |
One-bedroom listings dominate the supply at 17 out of 38 total, while 2-bedroom and 3-bedroom properties each account for just 7 listings. The relatively thin supply of larger units—combined with their significantly higher revenue—could signal an opportunity for investors willing to acquire or convert properties with more bedrooms.
| Size | Trend | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 bedroom |
|
17 |
| 2 bedrooms |
|
7 |
| 3 bedrooms |
|
7 |
ADR scales dramatically with property size in Carmel Valley: 1-bedrooms average $245 per night, 2-bedrooms reach $322, and 3-bedroom properties command a substantial $768 per night. The jump from 2 to 3 bedrooms represents a 138% premium, suggesting that larger properties capture a distinctly higher-end guest segment willing to pay a significant premium for space and amenities.
| Size | Trend | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 bedroom |
|
$245 |
| 2 bedrooms |
|
$322 |
| 3 bedrooms |
|
$768 |
Revenue per available night tells a clear story of size advantage: 3-bedroom properties lead at $230 RevPAN, more than double the $98 for 2-bedrooms and over three times the $70 for 1-bedrooms. Since occupancy rates are nearly identical across sizes (29–30%), the RevPAN gap is driven almost entirely by the ADR premium that larger units command.
| Size | Trend | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 bedroom |
|
$70 |
| 2 bedrooms |
|
$98 |
| 3 bedrooms |
|
$230 |
Occupancy rates are remarkably uniform across property sizes, with 1-bedrooms at 29% and both 2- and 3-bedroom units at 30%. This consistency means that larger properties don't sacrifice bookings for their higher price points, making the revenue advantage of bigger units a function of rate rather than fill-rate trade-offs.
| Size | Trend | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 bedroom |
|
29% |
| 2 bedrooms |
|
30% |
| 3 bedrooms |
|
30% |
Three-bedroom properties are the clear monthly revenue leaders at $10,960, roughly tripling the $3,349 that 1-bedroom units earn and nearly doubling the $5,836 for 2-bedrooms. For investors evaluating cash flow, the jump from a 1-bedroom to a 3-bedroom investment more than triples monthly income in this market.
| Size | Trend | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 bedroom |
|
$3,349 |
| 2 bedrooms |
|
$5,836 |
| 3 bedrooms |
|
$10,960 |
Annual revenue ranges from $40,195 for 1-bedroom units to $131,523 for 3-bedroom properties, with 2-bedrooms landing at $70,037. The 3-bedroom configuration offers the strongest gross revenue potential, though investors should weigh this against the correspondingly higher acquisition and maintenance costs in a market where average home values exceed $2.29 million.
| Size | Trend | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 bedroom |
|
$40,195 |
| 2 bedrooms |
|
$70,037 |
| 3 bedrooms |
|
$131,523 |
Parking leads at 97%, followed by kitchens (90%) and outdoor living features like patios (76%), outdoor furniture (74%), and backyards (74%)—reflecting Carmel Valley's appeal as a nature-oriented retreat destination. Pet-friendliness (58%) and workspace availability (55%) also stand out, suggesting guests expect both lifestyle flexibility and the comforts of a well-equipped home rather than a bare-bones rental.
| Amenity | Trend | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Parking |
|
97% |
| Kitchen |
|
90% |
| Patio or Balcony |
|
76% |
| Outdoor Furniture |
|
74% |
| Backyard |
|
74% |
| BBQ Grill |
|
68% |
| Pets |
|
58% |
| Workspace |
|
55% |
| Dryer |
|
53% |
| Washer |
|
53% |
| Self Check-in |
|
50% |
| Hot Tub |
|
40% |
| Pool |
|
26% |
| EV Charger |
|
5% |
Rabbu's ROI Score is a proprietary metric that evaluates short-term rental investment potential based on multiple factors.
| Factor | Carmel Valley Performance | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue-to-Price Ratio | Below average | 40% |
| Occupancy Stability | Above average | 30% |
| Market Growth Trend | Below average | 15% |
| Supply/Demand Balance | Average | 15% |
Carmel Valley's ROI Score of 53 out of 100 places it in the 'Competitive Opportunity' band, meaning demand and investor interest are strong but higher entry costs require disciplined deal sourcing. Above-average occupancy stability is a positive indicator, yet a below-average revenue-to-price ratio—driven by home values averaging over $2.29 million—limits yield for investors who overpay. Pairing this score with thorough local regulatory research and a focus on higher-revenue 3-bedroom configurations can help sharpen the investment case.
Understanding local STR regulations is essential before investing in Carmel Valley. Here's the current regulatory landscape:
Carmel Valley, located in Monterey County, California, may require short-term rental permits or registration depending on the applicable county or community-level regulations. Investors should verify current permit requirements directly with the Monterey County Planning Department before listing a property.
Common restrictions in California STR markets include occupancy limits, minimum night stays, noise ordinances, and parking requirements. Some areas also enforce permit caps or require compliance with HOA rules, so it's important to review both local government and any homeowner association guidelines that may apply to the specific property.
Short-term rental hosts in California are generally subject to transient occupancy taxes, and Monterey County may impose additional local tourism or lodging taxes. Platforms like Airbnb often collect and remit these taxes on behalf of hosts, but operators should confirm their specific obligations with the county tax authority.
Regulations subject to change. Always verify with local authorities before purchasing. A Rabbu partner agent specializing in Carmel Valley can provide current regulatory guidance.
Financing an Airbnb investment in Carmel Valley requires lenders who understand STR income. Rabbu partner lenders offer:
"Over the next 12–18 months, expect Carmel Valley's strong summer seasonality to persist, with July and August likely continuing to deliver monthly revenues in the $9,500–$10,700 range. The 161% year-over-year growth in active listings signals rising investor interest, which could put modest downward pressure on occupancy and ADR if supply outpaces demand. Revenue estimates suggest ADR may hold steady or dip 1–3% as competition intensifies, while occupancy could settle in the 27–31% range depending on how effectively new hosts differentiate their properties."
— Rabbu Market Analysis Team
Rabbu provides Airbnb and short-term rental market data and statistics across the United States. Our mission is to empower investors with accurate insights and easy-to-use tools, so they can confidently identify and act on the best opportunities in the Airbnb market.
Rabbu proprietary analytics as of Apr, 27 2026 and Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) as of Apr, 27 2026. Revenue projections are estimates based on comparable properties and do not guarantee future performance. Data reflects trailing 12-month averages and may not capture very recent regulatory or market shifts. Individual property results will vary based on location, condition, pricing strategy, and management quality.
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