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View PropertiesAs of Apr, 27 2026
Rabbu ROI Score
Graford appears higher risk based on current data and may require deeper, property-specific diligence to find compelling opportunities.
Graford, TX is a small lakeside market with just 48 active Airbnb listings and a notably high average daily rate of $404—well above the $276 Texas state average. However, occupancy sits at only 19% compared to the 33% state benchmark, which significantly limits revenue potential and contributes to average annual earnings of $47,155 against home values averaging nearly $1.5 million. With a 118% year-over-year growth in listings, new supply is entering the market faster than demand appears to support, making this a market that requires careful, property-specific analysis before committing capital.
According to Rabbu market data, the Graford short-term rental market shows:
| Metric | Context | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Active Airbnb Listings | As of Apr, 27 2026 | 48 |
| Average Daily Rate (ADR) | vs. $276 state avg. | $404 |
| Average Occupancy Rate | vs. 33% state avg. | 19% |
| RevPAN | ADR * Occupancy Rate | $78 |
| Average Monthly Revenue | Historical 12-month average | $3,929 |
| Average Annual Revenue | Historical 12-month average | $47,155 |
Data sources: Rabbu proprietary analytics as of Apr, 27 2026 and Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) as of Mar, 17 2026.
Investors look at Graford primarily for its lake-driven leisure demand and premium nightly rates, though the market's low occupancy and high property values demand careful underwriting.
Key investment factors
"Graford presents limited investment potential at present, driven primarily by its low occupancy rate and an unfavorable revenue-to-price ratio given average home values near $1.49 million. Revenue is sharply seasonal—July peaks at $7,891 in average monthly revenue while January drops to just $641, creating a roughly 12:1 spread between the best and worst months. Larger 4- and 5-bedroom lakefront properties perform meaningfully better than smaller units, but even the top-earning configurations face the challenge of justifying high acquisition costs. This is a market where a select few well-positioned, well-amenitized properties may work, but broad market fundamentals don't support passive or first-time STR investment."
— Rabbu Market Analysis Team
Graford's revenue is sharply seasonal, peaking in July at $7,891 and bottoming out in January at just $641—a roughly 12x spread that underscores heavy reliance on summer lake tourism. The May-through-August window accounts for the lion's share of annual income, while winter months contribute minimally.
| Month | Trend | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| January |
|
$641 |
| February |
|
$1,263 |
| March |
|
$4,145 |
| April |
|
$2,817 |
| May |
|
$4,888 |
| June |
|
$6,097 |
| July |
|
$7,891 |
| August |
|
$6,696 |
| September |
|
$4,272 |
| October |
|
$3,461 |
| November |
|
$3,083 |
| December |
|
$1,896 |
Supply is concentrated in 2- and 3-bedroom properties with 14 listings each, while 4-bedroom (5 listings) and 5-bedroom (7 listings) units are less common. The relative scarcity of larger properties, combined with their stronger revenue performance, may signal an opportunity for investors targeting the upper end of the size spectrum.
| Size | Trend | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 2 bedrooms |
|
14 |
| 3 bedrooms |
|
14 |
| 4 bedrooms |
|
5 |
| 5 bedrooms |
|
7 |
ADR more than doubles from 2-bedroom listings at $256 to 4-bedroom properties at $638, with 5-bedroom units commanding the highest rate at $673 per night. The steep premium for larger properties reflects the vacation and group-travel nature of Graford's demand, where bigger lakefront homes can justify significantly higher nightly pricing.
| Size | Trend | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 2 bedrooms |
|
$256 |
| 3 bedrooms |
|
$336 |
| 4 bedrooms |
|
$638 |
| 5 bedrooms |
|
$673 |
Revenue per available night jumps substantially for larger properties, with 4- and 5-bedroom units both delivering around $141–$142 in RevPAN compared to just $50–$60 for 2- and 3-bedroom listings. This nearly 3x gap suggests that larger configurations convert their rate premium into meaningfully better per-night revenue even after accounting for occupancy.
| Size | Trend | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 2 bedrooms |
|
$50 |
| 3 bedrooms |
|
$60 |
| 4 bedrooms |
|
$141 |
| 5 bedrooms |
|
$142 |
Occupancy rates are uniformly low across all property sizes, ranging from 18% for 3-bedroom units to 22% for 4-bedroom properties. The narrow spread indicates that low occupancy is a market-wide condition rather than a size-specific issue, and investors should not expect significantly better fill rates by choosing one bedroom count over another.
| Size | Trend | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 2 bedrooms |
|
20% |
| 3 bedrooms |
|
18% |
| 4 bedrooms |
|
22% |
| 5 bedrooms |
|
21% |
Five-bedroom properties lead monthly revenue at $8,609, followed closely by 4-bedroom units at $7,748—both roughly double or more what 2-bedroom listings generate at $2,918. The revenue gap between smaller and larger configurations is substantial enough that investors targeting Graford should weigh the higher acquisition cost of bigger properties against their significantly stronger earning potential.
| Size | Trend | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 2 bedrooms |
|
$2,918 |
| 3 bedrooms |
|
$3,771 |
| 4 bedrooms |
|
$7,748 |
| 5 bedrooms |
|
$8,609 |
Annual revenue ranges from $35,018 for 2-bedroom properties to $103,317 for 5-bedroom homes, with 4-bedroom units also performing well at $92,978. Given average home values near $1.49 million, even the top-earning 5-bedroom configuration faces a challenging revenue-to-price ratio, though individual properties priced below market average could shift the calculus.
| Size | Trend | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 2 bedrooms |
|
$35,018 |
| 3 bedrooms |
|
$45,262 |
| 4 bedrooms |
|
$92,978 |
| 5 bedrooms |
|
$103,317 |
Kitchens (98%), BBQ grills (88%), and parking (88%) are near-universal, while lake access (67%) and waterfront location (48%) highlight the outdoor recreation focus that defines guest expectations in Graford. Hot tubs (38%) and pools (29%) are less common, potentially offering a competitive edge for listings that include them.
| Amenity | Trend | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Kitchen |
|
98% |
| BBQ Grill |
|
88% |
| Parking |
|
88% |
| Self Check-in |
|
83% |
| Patio or Balcony |
|
73% |
| Outdoor Furniture |
|
73% |
| Washer |
|
71% |
| Dryer |
|
67% |
| Lake Access |
|
67% |
| Backyard |
|
65% |
| Waterfront |
|
48% |
| Hot Tub |
|
38% |
| Pets |
|
33% |
| Pool |
|
29% |
Rabbu's ROI Score is a proprietary metric that evaluates short-term rental investment potential based on multiple factors.
| Factor | Graford Performance | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue-to-Price Ratio | Below average | 40% |
| Occupancy Stability | Below average | 30% |
| Market Growth Trend | Average | 15% |
| Supply/Demand Balance | Below average | 15% |
Graford's ROI score of 27 out of 100 places it in the limited investment potential band, flagging elevated risk for STR investors. The score reflects below-average marks across revenue-to-price ratio, occupancy stability, and supply/demand balance, with only market growth trend scoring at an average level—driven largely by the 118% increase in listings rather than proven demand growth. Investors drawn to the market's premium rates and lake setting should pair this data with thorough local regulatory research and focus on property-specific underwriting rather than relying on broad market momentum.
Understanding local STR regulations is essential before investing in Graford. Here's the current regulatory landscape:
Short-term rental operators in Graford, TX should verify whether Palo Pinto County or the city itself requires a permit or registration for vacation rental properties. Texas does not impose a statewide STR licensing requirement, but local jurisdictions may have their own rules, so checking directly with Graford's city offices or county clerk is recommended before listing.
Common restrictions that may apply to STR properties in rural Texas markets include occupancy limits, noise ordinances, parking requirements, and signage rules. Investors should also review any HOA covenants or deed restrictions on lakefront properties, as these can impose additional limitations on rental activity, minimum stay durations, or guest counts.
Texas imposes a 6% state hotel occupancy tax on short-term rentals, and Palo Pinto County or local taxing entities may levy additional occupancy or tourism taxes. Many booking platforms collect and remit state taxes automatically, but operators should confirm local tax obligations and filing requirements with the appropriate authorities.
Regulations subject to change. Always verify with local authorities before purchasing. A Rabbu partner agent specializing in Graford can provide current regulatory guidance.
Financing an Airbnb investment in Graford requires lenders who understand STR income. Rabbu partner lenders offer:
"Over the next 12–18 months, Graford's seasonal revenue pattern—peaking strongly from May through August—is likely to persist, with summer months continuing to drive the bulk of annual income. The rapid 118% growth in active listings could put downward pressure on both occupancy and daily rates if demand doesn't keep pace. Investors should anticipate occupancy remaining in the 18–22% range market-wide, with modest ADR adjustments possible as competition intensifies. Any improvement in performance will likely depend on standout property quality and amenities rather than broad market tailwinds."
— Rabbu Market Analysis Team
Rabbu provides Airbnb and short-term rental market data and statistics across the United States. Our mission is to empower investors with accurate insights and easy-to-use tools, so they can confidently identify and act on the best opportunities in the Airbnb market.
Rabbu proprietary analytics as of Apr, 27 2026 and Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) as of Mar, 17 2026. Revenue projections are estimates based on comparable properties and do not guarantee future performance. Data reflects trailing 12-month averages and current snapshots as of the dates indicated; market conditions may shift. Local regulations, HOA rules, and tax obligations should be independently verified before acquiring any property.
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