Green Valley Lake, CA Airbnb Market Data, Statistics, and Occupancy Rates

As of Apr, 27 2026

Rabbu ROI Score

32 / 100

Green Valley Lake appears higher risk based on current data and may require deeper, property-specific diligence to find compelling opportunities.

Green Valley Lake Short-Term Rental Market Overview

Green Valley Lake is a small mountain-lake community in California with just 61 active Airbnb listings and an average annual revenue of $17,426 per property. With an ADR of $198—well below the $551 state average—and occupancy sitting at 32% versus 43% statewide, this market carries a limited ROI score of 32 out of 100. Investors drawn to the area's cabin-and-lake appeal should approach with careful, property-level analysis rather than broad market assumptions.

Key Market Statistics

According to Rabbu market data, the Green Valley Lake short-term rental market shows:

Key Airbnb and short-term rental market statistics.
Metric Context Value
Active Airbnb Listings As of Apr, 27 2026 61
Average Daily Rate (ADR) vs. $551 state avg. $198
Average Occupancy Rate vs. 43% state avg. 32%
RevPAN ADR * Occupancy Rate $62
Average Monthly Revenue Historical 12-month average $1,452
Average Annual Revenue Historical 12-month average $17,426

Data sources: Rabbu proprietary analytics as of Apr, 27 2026 and Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) as of Mar, 17 2026.

Why Investors Consider Green Valley Lake

Investors consider Green Valley Lake for its relatively affordable home prices and seasonal mountain-lake demand, though the modest occupancy and revenue figures call for disciplined underwriting.

Key investment factors

  • Average home values of $384,275 are well below California coastal markets, lowering the barrier to entry
  • Winter and summer seasonality creates two distinct booking peaks that help offset shoulder-month softness
  • 71% of listings highlight lake access, signaling a differentiated guest experience that supports niche pricing
  • 4-bedroom properties generate nearly $30K annually, offering a meaningful premium for investors willing to scale up property size
  • Year-over-year listing growth of 135% suggests rising investor interest, though supply must be monitored against demand

Expert Market Assessment

"Current data places Green Valley Lake in the limited-opportunity tier, driven primarily by below-average occupancy stability and modest per-listing revenue. The market's pronounced seasonality—December peaks at $2,502 and May troughs near $900—means cash flow can swing dramatically month to month. That said, 4-bedroom properties stand out as a bright spot, earning nearly double the market average with the highest occupancy rate among all property sizes. Investors willing to target larger properties and manage through lean spring months may still find workable deals, but broad market-level returns are currently thin."

— Rabbu Market Analysis Team

Understanding Green Valley Lake's ROI Score: 32/100

Rabbu's ROI Score is a proprietary metric that evaluates short-term rental investment potential based on multiple factors.

How the ROI Score is Calculated

Factor Green Valley Lake Performance Weight
Revenue-to-Price Ratio Average 40%
Occupancy Stability Below average 30%
Market Growth Trend Average 15%
Supply/Demand Balance Average 15%

What This Means for Investors

With a score of 32 out of 100, Green Valley Lake falls into the limited investment potential band, signaling that market-wide returns are currently modest and higher risk. Below-average occupancy stability is the primary drag, while the revenue-to-price ratio and supply/demand balance rate as average—meaning deals exist but are not abundant. Investors considering this market should pair these data points with thorough local regulatory research and focus on property-specific advantages, particularly larger homes that outperform the market average.

Short-Term Rental Regulations in Green Valley Lake

Understanding local STR regulations is essential before investing in Green Valley Lake. Here's the current regulatory landscape:

Permit Requirements

Short-term rental operators in Green Valley Lake, California may be required to obtain permits or register with San Bernardino County. Investors should verify current permit requirements directly with local planning and code enforcement offices before listing a property.

Key Restrictions

Common STR restrictions in mountain communities like Green Valley Lake can include occupancy limits tied to bedroom count, minimum-stay requirements during certain seasons, noise ordinances, designated parking mandates, and HOA-level rules that may further constrain rental activity. Fire-safety regulations are also typical in forested areas and may require specific disclosures or equipment.

Tax Obligations

California generally requires short-term rental hosts to collect transient occupancy taxes, and San Bernardino County may impose additional local levies. Many booking platforms remit these taxes on behalf of hosts, but operators should confirm their specific obligations with the county tax collector's office.

Regulations subject to change. Always verify with local authorities before purchasing. A Rabbu partner agent specializing in Green Valley Lake can provide current regulatory guidance.

Short-Term Rental Financing for Green Valley Lake

Financing an Airbnb investment in Green Valley Lake requires lenders who understand STR income. Rabbu partner lenders offer:

  • DSCR Loans: Qualify based on property income, not personal income
  • Low Down Payment: As low as 10–15% for investment properties
  • Fast Closing: 21–30 day average close times
  • STR Experience: Lenders who understand vacation rental underwriting
Connect with a Green Valley Lake Lender →

Future Outlook & Long-Term Forecast

"Over the next 12–18 months, Green Valley Lake is likely to remain a seasonal, winter-peaked market where December and January drive the bulk of revenue. Active listing counts surged 135% year over year, which could put further downward pressure on occupancy if demand doesn't keep pace. ADR may hold steady or drift upward by 1–3% given rising interest in mountain getaways, but investors should plan conservatively around occupancy in the 30–35% range and build their projections off the current $1,452 average monthly revenue baseline."

— Rabbu Market Analysis Team

Frequently asked questions about Airbnb in Green Valley Lake, CA

What is the average Airbnb occupancy rate in Green Valley Lake?
The average Airbnb occupancy rate in Green Valley Lake is currently 32%, which trails the California state average of 43%. Occupancy varies significantly by property size, ranging from 22% for 3-bedroom listings up to 40% for 4-bedroom properties. The market's seasonal nature—with winter months driving the most bookings—contributes to the lower overall figure.
How much do Airbnb hosts make in Green Valley Lake?
On average, Airbnb hosts in Green Valley Lake earn approximately $1,452 per month or $17,426 per year based on trailing 12-month booking data. Revenue varies widely by property size: 1-bedroom listings average around $15,303 annually, while 4-bedroom properties can bring in roughly $29,875 per year. Individual results depend on factors like pricing strategy, property quality, and how well a host manages seasonal demand swings.
Is Green Valley Lake a good market for Airbnb investment?
Green Valley Lake currently carries a limited ROI score of 32 out of 100, reflecting below-average occupancy and moderate revenue relative to home values averaging $384,275. The market does show seasonal strength in winter months and a clear premium for larger properties, so investors targeting 4-bedroom cabins with strong amenity packages may find better-than-average returns. However, broad market-level performance is thin, and deeper property-specific diligence is recommended.
What is the average daily rate (ADR) for Airbnb in Green Valley Lake?
The average daily rate in Green Valley Lake is $198, which is considerably lower than the $551 California state average. ADR scales with property size—from $131 for 1-bedroom units up to $280 for 4-bedroom homes. The lower ADR reflects the market's positioning as an affordable mountain getaway rather than a luxury destination.
Are short-term rentals legal in Green Valley Lake?
Short-term rentals operate in Green Valley Lake, but hosts may need permits or registrations through San Bernardino County. Regulations can change, and there may be additional HOA or community-level restrictions. Prospective investors should verify current rules with local authorities before purchasing or listing a property.
When is peak season for Airbnb in Green Valley Lake?
Peak season in Green Valley Lake centers on the winter months, with December leading at $2,502 in average revenue and January close behind at $2,084. A secondary summer bump occurs in July ($1,618) and August ($1,668). The slowest months are April through June, when average monthly revenue drops below $1,000.
How many Airbnbs are there in Green Valley Lake?
As of April 2026, there are 61 active Airbnb listings in Green Valley Lake. The supply is dominated by 2-bedroom properties (32 listings), followed by 1-bedrooms (13), 3-bedrooms (9), and 4-bedrooms (5). Notably, active listings grew 135% year over year, indicating a rapidly expanding supply base.
How is Airbnb revenue calculated in Green Valley Lake?
The annual and monthly revenue figures shown for Green Valley Lake are derived from the trailing 12 months of historical booking performance for active comparable Airbnb listings in the market—not a forward-looking projection. We average each comparable listing's actual revenue per available night (RevPAN) by month over the past year, remove regional outliers, and roll up the results to a market-level historical average. Because each month uses its own historical performance, the figures naturally reflect seasonal peaks (like December's $2,502) and slower months (like May's $900). Individual results can vary based on property quality, pricing strategy, and operational management.

About Rabbu Market Data

Rabbu provides Airbnb and short-term rental market data and statistics across the United States. Our mission is to empower investors with accurate insights and easy-to-use tools, so they can confidently identify and act on the best opportunities in the Airbnb market.

What this data includes

  • Regularly updated active Airbnb and STR listing counts by market and property size
  • Average daily rate, occupancy, and RevPAN metrics across property configurations
  • Monthly and annual revenue trends based on trailing 12-month booking data
  • Home value benchmarks sourced from Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI)
  • Amenity prevalence data across active listings to inform property setup decisions

Sources and disclaimers

Rabbu proprietary analytics as of Apr, 27 2026 and Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) as of Mar, 17 2026. Revenue projections are estimates based on comparable properties and do not guarantee future performance. Data reflects trailing 12-month averages and may not capture very recent market shifts or regulatory changes. Local regulations, HOA rules, and permit requirements can materially affect STR viability and should be independently verified.

Next Steps

Ready to invest in Green Valley Lake's short-term rental market? Take action with these resources:

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