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View PropertiesAs of Apr, 27 2026
Rabbu ROI Score
Green Valley Lake appears higher risk based on current data and may require deeper, property-specific diligence to find compelling opportunities.
Green Valley Lake is a small mountain-lake community in California with just 61 active Airbnb listings and an average annual revenue of $17,426 per property. With an ADR of $198—well below the $551 state average—and occupancy sitting at 32% versus 43% statewide, this market carries a limited ROI score of 32 out of 100. Investors drawn to the area's cabin-and-lake appeal should approach with careful, property-level analysis rather than broad market assumptions.
According to Rabbu market data, the Green Valley Lake short-term rental market shows:
| Metric | Context | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Active Airbnb Listings | As of Apr, 27 2026 | 61 |
| Average Daily Rate (ADR) | vs. $551 state avg. | $198 |
| Average Occupancy Rate | vs. 43% state avg. | 32% |
| RevPAN | ADR * Occupancy Rate | $62 |
| Average Monthly Revenue | Historical 12-month average | $1,452 |
| Average Annual Revenue | Historical 12-month average | $17,426 |
Data sources: Rabbu proprietary analytics as of Apr, 27 2026 and Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) as of Mar, 17 2026.
Investors consider Green Valley Lake for its relatively affordable home prices and seasonal mountain-lake demand, though the modest occupancy and revenue figures call for disciplined underwriting.
Key investment factors
"Current data places Green Valley Lake in the limited-opportunity tier, driven primarily by below-average occupancy stability and modest per-listing revenue. The market's pronounced seasonality—December peaks at $2,502 and May troughs near $900—means cash flow can swing dramatically month to month. That said, 4-bedroom properties stand out as a bright spot, earning nearly double the market average with the highest occupancy rate among all property sizes. Investors willing to target larger properties and manage through lean spring months may still find workable deals, but broad market-level returns are currently thin."
— Rabbu Market Analysis Team
Green Valley Lake shows sharp seasonality: December is the clear revenue leader at $2,502, followed by January at $2,084, while May bottoms out at just $900—a nearly 3x spread between peak and trough. A secondary summer bump in July–August ($1,618–$1,668) provides some mid-year relief, but investors should budget for lean spring months.
| Month | Trend | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| January |
|
$2,084 |
| February |
|
$1,817 |
| March |
|
$1,589 |
| April |
|
$974 |
| May |
|
$900 |
| June |
|
$912 |
| July |
|
$1,618 |
| August |
|
$1,668 |
| September |
|
$1,077 |
| October |
|
$958 |
| November |
|
$1,320 |
| December |
|
$2,502 |
Two-bedroom listings dominate the market with 32 of the 61 active properties, making up over half the supply. With only 5 four-bedroom listings—the size that generates the highest revenue and occupancy—there may be an opportunity for investors who can offer larger accommodations in a relatively uncrowded segment.
| Size | Trend | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 bedroom |
|
13 |
| 2 bedrooms |
|
32 |
| 3 bedrooms |
|
9 |
| 4 bedrooms |
|
5 |
ADR climbs steadily from $131 for 1-bedroom units to $280 for 4-bedroom homes, roughly doubling across the range. The jump from 3 bedrooms ($237) to 4 bedrooms ($280) is modest in percentage terms, but when paired with the occupancy advantage of 4-bedroom properties, the premium-to-cost trade-off looks most favorable at the top end.
| Size | Trend | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 bedroom |
|
$131 |
| 2 bedrooms |
|
$183 |
| 3 bedrooms |
|
$237 |
| 4 bedrooms |
|
$280 |
Four-bedroom properties deliver a standout RevPAN of $111, more than double the $47–$59 range seen across 1- to 3-bedroom listings. Three-bedroom units actually lag 2-bedrooms in RevPAN ($51 vs. $59), suggesting that mid-size properties struggle to maintain enough occupancy to justify their higher nightly rates.
| Size | Trend | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 bedroom |
|
$47 |
| 2 bedrooms |
|
$59 |
| 3 bedrooms |
|
$51 |
| 4 bedrooms |
|
$111 |
Occupancy rates are generally low across all sizes, but 4-bedroom properties lead at 40%, followed by 1-bedrooms at 36%. Three-bedroom listings sit at just 22%—the weakest among all property types—which signals potential oversupply or pricing misalignment for that segment.
| Size | Trend | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 bedroom |
|
36% |
| 2 bedrooms |
|
32% |
| 3 bedrooms |
|
22% |
| 4 bedrooms |
|
40% |
Four-bedroom properties average $2,489 per month, nearly twice the $1,270–$1,381 range earned by 1- to 3-bedroom listings. Revenue is remarkably flat across the smaller sizes, with 1-, 2-, and 3-bedroom units all clustered within roughly $100 of each other on a monthly basis.
| Size | Trend | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 bedroom |
|
$1,275 |
| 2 bedrooms |
|
$1,270 |
| 3 bedrooms |
|
$1,381 |
| 4 bedrooms |
|
$2,489 |
At $29,875 annually, 4-bedroom properties generate roughly 80–96% more revenue than smaller configurations, which cluster tightly between $15,251 and $16,581. For investors focused on maximizing gross income relative to the limited supply of larger homes, the 4-bedroom segment clearly offers the strongest return potential in Green Valley Lake.
| Size | Trend | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 bedroom |
|
$15,303 |
| 2 bedrooms |
|
$15,251 |
| 3 bedrooms |
|
$16,581 |
| 4 bedrooms |
|
$29,875 |
Kitchens (100%), self check-in (95%), patios or balconies (93%), and parking (93%) are near-universal, reflecting baseline guest expectations for a mountain cabin stay. Lake access appears in 71% of listings, making it a key differentiator—properties without it may struggle to compete, while amenities like pet-friendliness (66%) and BBQ grills (90%) further signal that guests expect a full outdoor lifestyle experience.
| Amenity | Trend | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Kitchen |
|
100% |
| Self Check-in |
|
95% |
| Patio or Balcony |
|
93% |
| Parking |
|
93% |
| BBQ Grill |
|
90% |
| Outdoor Furniture |
|
84% |
| Lake Access |
|
71% |
| Dryer |
|
67% |
| Washer |
|
66% |
| Pets |
|
66% |
| Backyard |
|
53% |
| Workspace |
|
46% |
| Beach Access |
|
18% |
| EV Charger |
|
13% |
Rabbu's ROI Score is a proprietary metric that evaluates short-term rental investment potential based on multiple factors.
| Factor | Green Valley Lake Performance | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue-to-Price Ratio | Average | 40% |
| Occupancy Stability | Below average | 30% |
| Market Growth Trend | Average | 15% |
| Supply/Demand Balance | Average | 15% |
With a score of 32 out of 100, Green Valley Lake falls into the limited investment potential band, signaling that market-wide returns are currently modest and higher risk. Below-average occupancy stability is the primary drag, while the revenue-to-price ratio and supply/demand balance rate as average—meaning deals exist but are not abundant. Investors considering this market should pair these data points with thorough local regulatory research and focus on property-specific advantages, particularly larger homes that outperform the market average.
Understanding local STR regulations is essential before investing in Green Valley Lake. Here's the current regulatory landscape:
Short-term rental operators in Green Valley Lake, California may be required to obtain permits or register with San Bernardino County. Investors should verify current permit requirements directly with local planning and code enforcement offices before listing a property.
Common STR restrictions in mountain communities like Green Valley Lake can include occupancy limits tied to bedroom count, minimum-stay requirements during certain seasons, noise ordinances, designated parking mandates, and HOA-level rules that may further constrain rental activity. Fire-safety regulations are also typical in forested areas and may require specific disclosures or equipment.
California generally requires short-term rental hosts to collect transient occupancy taxes, and San Bernardino County may impose additional local levies. Many booking platforms remit these taxes on behalf of hosts, but operators should confirm their specific obligations with the county tax collector's office.
Regulations subject to change. Always verify with local authorities before purchasing. A Rabbu partner agent specializing in Green Valley Lake can provide current regulatory guidance.
Financing an Airbnb investment in Green Valley Lake requires lenders who understand STR income. Rabbu partner lenders offer:
"Over the next 12–18 months, Green Valley Lake is likely to remain a seasonal, winter-peaked market where December and January drive the bulk of revenue. Active listing counts surged 135% year over year, which could put further downward pressure on occupancy if demand doesn't keep pace. ADR may hold steady or drift upward by 1–3% given rising interest in mountain getaways, but investors should plan conservatively around occupancy in the 30–35% range and build their projections off the current $1,452 average monthly revenue baseline."
— Rabbu Market Analysis Team
Rabbu provides Airbnb and short-term rental market data and statistics across the United States. Our mission is to empower investors with accurate insights and easy-to-use tools, so they can confidently identify and act on the best opportunities in the Airbnb market.
Rabbu proprietary analytics as of Apr, 27 2026 and Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) as of Mar, 17 2026. Revenue projections are estimates based on comparable properties and do not guarantee future performance. Data reflects trailing 12-month averages and may not capture very recent market shifts or regulatory changes. Local regulations, HOA rules, and permit requirements can materially affect STR viability and should be independently verified.
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