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View PropertiesAs of Apr, 27 2026
Rabbu ROI Score
Guerneville offers attractive short-term rental potential, with a balance of healthy demand and revenue relative to property values.
Guerneville, a Russian River retreat in Sonoma County, presents an attractive short-term rental opportunity with an ROI score of 58 out of 100. With an above-average revenue-to-price ratio and average home values around $694,556, investors can tap into a leisure-driven market where the trailing 12-month average annual revenue reaches $54,673. While the 26% occupancy rate sits below the California state average of 43%, the relatively moderate property prices compared to coastal California peers help offset thinner booking calendars.
According to Rabbu market data, the Guerneville short-term rental market shows:
| Metric | Context | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Active Airbnb Listings | As of Apr, 27 2026 | 175 |
| Average Daily Rate (ADR) | vs. $551 state avg. | $325 |
| Average Occupancy Rate | vs. 43% state avg. | 26% |
| RevPAN | ADR * Occupancy Rate | $83 |
| Average Monthly Revenue | Historical 12-month average | $4,556 |
| Average Annual Revenue | Historical 12-month average | $54,673 |
Data sources: Rabbu proprietary analytics as of Apr, 27 2026 and Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) as of Mar, 17 2026.
Guerneville appeals to STR investors because of its strong revenue-to-price ratio in a nature-oriented leisure destination within easy reach of the San Francisco Bay Area.
Key investment factors
"Guerneville sits in the "Attractive Opportunity" tier, driven primarily by a revenue-to-price ratio that outpaces many California markets. Seasonality is the defining characteristic here: August tops the revenue chart at $6,864 while January bottoms out near $2,729, creating a spread of roughly 2.5×. Occupancy stability is rated average at 26%, which means cash flow will be lumpy — investors should budget for lean winter months. That said, the combination of achievable acquisition costs and strong summer demand makes this a market worth serious consideration for buyers comfortable managing seasonal fluctuations."
— Rabbu Market Analysis Team
Guerneville's revenue cycle peaks in August at $6,864 and troughs in January at $2,729, reflecting a highly seasonal market with a 2.5× spread between the best and worst months. The June–September window generates the bulk of annual income, making summer optimization critical for investors.
| Month | Trend | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| January |
|
$2,729 |
| February |
|
$2,995 |
| March |
|
$3,867 |
| April |
|
$3,969 |
| May |
|
$4,840 |
| June |
|
$5,322 |
| July |
|
$6,621 |
| August |
|
$6,864 |
| September |
|
$5,553 |
| October |
|
$4,638 |
| November |
|
$3,727 |
| December |
|
$3,542 |
Three-bedroom properties lead the supply with 59 listings, followed closely by 2-bedrooms at 48, together comprising over 60% of the market's 175 active listings. Studios (6) and 5-bedrooms (7) are underrepresented, which could signal either lower demand or a potential niche opportunity for differentiated properties.
| Size | Trend | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Studio |
|
6 |
| 1 bedroom |
|
32 |
| 2 bedrooms |
|
48 |
| 3 bedrooms |
|
59 |
| 4 bedrooms |
|
19 |
| 5 bedrooms |
|
7 |
ADR climbs steadily from $131 for studios to $589 for 5-bedroom homes, with 3-bedrooms at $358 representing a strong middle ground between rate and broad guest appeal. The jump from 3-bedrooms to 4-bedrooms ($358 to $464) is notable and may reward investors willing to acquire slightly larger properties.
| Size | Trend | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Studio |
|
$131 |
| 1 bedroom |
|
$192 |
| 2 bedrooms |
|
$251 |
| 3 bedrooms |
|
$358 |
| 4 bedrooms |
|
$464 |
| 5 bedrooms |
|
$589 |
RevPAN tops out at $117 for 5-bedroom properties and $116 for 4-bedrooms, while studios and 1-bedrooms lag at $42 and $47 respectively. The near-parity between 4- and 5-bedroom RevPAN suggests that the incremental revenue from adding a fifth bedroom is minimal once occupancy is factored in.
| Size | Trend | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Studio |
|
$42 |
| 1 bedroom |
|
$47 |
| 2 bedrooms |
|
$70 |
| 3 bedrooms |
|
$84 |
| 4 bedrooms |
|
$116 |
| 5 bedrooms |
|
$117 |
Studios achieve the highest occupancy at 32%, while all other property sizes cluster in the 20–28% range, with 5-bedrooms posting the lowest at 20%. The relatively compressed occupancy range suggests that property size has limited impact on fill rates, so investors should focus on rate optimization rather than expecting larger homes to book more nights.
| Size | Trend | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Studio |
|
32% |
| 1 bedroom |
|
25% |
| 2 bedrooms |
|
28% |
| 3 bedrooms |
|
24% |
| 4 bedrooms |
|
25% |
| 5 bedrooms |
|
20% |
Four- and 5-bedroom homes dominate monthly revenue at $7,822 and $7,929 respectively — more than triple what studios generate at $2,127. For investors targeting consistent cash flow, 3-bedroom properties at $4,979 per month offer a solid balance between acquisition cost and income potential.
| Size | Trend | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Studio |
|
$2,127 |
| 1 bedroom |
|
$2,311 |
| 2 bedrooms |
|
$3,729 |
| 3 bedrooms |
|
$4,979 |
| 4 bedrooms |
|
$7,822 |
| 5 bedrooms |
|
$7,929 |
Annual revenue ranges from $25,528 for studios to $95,158 for 5-bedroom properties, with 4-bedrooms close behind at $93,869. The largest properties deliver roughly 3.7× the annual revenue of the smallest, making them compelling for investors focused on maximizing top-line income against Guerneville's $694,556 average home value.
| Size | Trend | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Studio |
|
$25,528 |
| 1 bedroom |
|
$27,741 |
| 2 bedrooms |
|
$44,750 |
| 3 bedrooms |
|
$59,752 |
| 4 bedrooms |
|
$93,869 |
| 5 bedrooms |
|
$95,158 |
Parking (96%), kitchens (95%), and patios or balconies (87%) are near-universal, while hot tubs at 71% and pet-friendliness at 66% signal strong guest expectations for outdoor relaxation and flexibility. Listings without hot tubs or BBQ grills may be at a competitive disadvantage in this market, making these amenities effectively mandatory for serious performers.
| Amenity | Trend | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Parking |
|
96% |
| Kitchen |
|
95% |
| Patio or Balcony |
|
87% |
| Self Check-in |
|
85% |
| BBQ Grill |
|
82% |
| Washer |
|
81% |
| Dryer |
|
81% |
| Hot Tub |
|
71% |
| Pets |
|
66% |
| Outdoor Furniture |
|
63% |
| Backyard |
|
55% |
| Workspace |
|
38% |
| Beach Access |
|
17% |
| Waterfront |
|
16% |
Rabbu's ROI Score is a proprietary metric that evaluates short-term rental investment potential based on multiple factors.
| Factor | Guerneville Performance | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue-to-Price Ratio | Above average | 40% |
| Occupancy Stability | Average | 30% |
| Market Growth Trend | Average | 15% |
| Supply/Demand Balance | Below average | 15% |
Guerneville's ROI score of 58 out of 100 places it in the "Attractive Opportunity" band, driven largely by an above-average revenue-to-price ratio that makes it a compelling yield play relative to many California markets. Occupancy stability and market growth trend rate as average, while the supply/demand balance is below average — a factor worth monitoring as listing counts have grown significantly year over year. Investors should pair this score with local regulatory research and property-level underwriting to confirm that the market's seasonal revenue pattern aligns with their cash-flow expectations.
Understanding local STR regulations is essential before investing in Guerneville. Here's the current regulatory landscape:
Short-term rental operators in Guerneville, located in unincorporated Sonoma County, California, may be required to obtain a vacation rental permit or register with the county. Investors should verify current permit requirements directly with Sonoma County's Permit and Resource Management Department before listing a property.
Common STR restrictions in and around Guerneville can include occupancy limits tied to bedroom count, minimum stay requirements, noise and quiet-hour ordinances, and parking regulations. HOA covenants may impose additional limitations, and some areas may cap the total number of permits issued, so due diligence on the specific parcel is essential.
STR hosts in California are generally subject to Transient Occupancy Tax (TOT) collected at the county level, and platforms like Airbnb often remit this tax on the host's behalf. Operators should also confirm any applicable state sales tax obligations and keep detailed records for annual filings.
Regulations subject to change. Always verify with local authorities before purchasing. A Rabbu partner agent specializing in Guerneville can provide current regulatory guidance.
Financing an Airbnb investment in Guerneville requires lenders who understand STR income. Rabbu partner lenders offer:
"Over the next 12–18 months, Guerneville's STR market should continue to benefit from its position as a weekend and summer escape for Bay Area travelers. Summer months consistently generate revenue more than double the winter lows, so investors should plan for pronounced seasonality with peak monthly revenue in the $6,600–$6,900 range and off-season months dipping below $3,000. ADR could see modest gains of 1–3% as hosts continue adding premium amenities like hot tubs, though occupancy improvements will likely remain incremental given the supply/demand balance is currently rated below average. Investors who target larger properties and optimize pricing for shoulder-season demand stand the best chance of outperforming the market average."
— Rabbu Market Analysis Team
Rabbu provides Airbnb and short-term rental market data and statistics across the United States. Our mission is to empower investors with accurate insights and easy-to-use tools, so they can confidently identify and act on the best opportunities in the Airbnb market.
Rabbu proprietary analytics as of Apr, 27 2026 and Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) as of Mar, 17 2026. Revenue projections are estimates based on comparable properties and do not guarantee future performance. Data reflects trailing 12-month historical averages and may not capture very recent market shifts or regulatory changes. Local STR regulations, permit requirements, and tax obligations can change — always verify with the appropriate municipal or county authority before investing.
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