Keystone, SD Airbnb Market Data, Statistics, and Occupancy Rates

As of Apr, 27 2026

Rabbu ROI Score

67 / 100

Keystone offers attractive short-term rental potential, with a balance of healthy demand and revenue relative to property values.

Keystone Short-Term Rental Market Overview

Keystone, South Dakota — the gateway town to Mount Rushmore — operates as a compact but compelling short-term rental market with just 14 active Airbnb listings and an average annual revenue of $53,801. The market's extreme seasonality, with July revenues reaching $10,925 per listing, reflects the powerful draw of summer tourism to the Black Hills. An ROI score of 67 out of 100 positions Keystone as an attractive opportunity, bolstered by above-average occupancy stability and a revenue-to-price ratio that keeps pace with broader benchmarks despite elevated home values averaging $891,674.

Key Market Statistics

According to Rabbu market data, the Keystone short-term rental market shows:

Key Airbnb and short-term rental market statistics.
Metric Context Value
Active Airbnb Listings As of Apr, 27 2026 14
Average Daily Rate (ADR) vs. $261 state avg. $252
Average Occupancy Rate vs. 43% state avg. 34%
RevPAN ADR * Occupancy Rate $86
Average Monthly Revenue Historical 12-month average $4,483
Average Annual Revenue Historical 12-month average $53,801

Data sources: Rabbu proprietary analytics as of Apr, 27 2026 and Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) as of Apr, 27 2026.

Why Investors Consider Keystone

Keystone's proximity to one of America's most iconic landmarks delivers concentrated seasonal demand that supports premium nightly rates despite limited year-round activity.

Key investment factors

  • Mount Rushmore and Black Hills tourism drive a reliable summer booking surge from June through August
  • Above-average occupancy stability reduces the risk of prolonged vacancy during shoulder months
  • A tiny listing count of just 14 active properties means low direct competition relative to most STR markets
  • Outdoor amenities like hot tubs, BBQ grills, and patios are standard guest expectations, creating clear differentiation pathways
  • The 177% year-over-year listing growth signals rising investor interest and market maturation

Expert Market Assessment

"Keystone presents a moderate-to-strong opportunity for investors comfortable with a highly seasonal revenue profile. Peak months from June through August account for the lion's share of annual income, with July alone generating nearly $10,925 per listing — roughly eight times what a property earns in the slowest winter months. The market's above-average occupancy stability and average revenue-to-price ratio reinforce its attractiveness, but below-average market growth trends and home values near $892,000 mean investors need to pencil in realistic off-season expectations. Properties equipped with the outdoor amenities guests already expect here — grills, patios, hot tubs — are best positioned to capture shoulder-season bookings and push annual revenue toward the upper end of the range."

— Rabbu Market Analysis Team

Understanding Keystone's ROI Score: 67/100

Rabbu's ROI Score is a proprietary metric that evaluates short-term rental investment potential based on multiple factors.

How the ROI Score is Calculated

Factor Keystone Performance Weight
Revenue-to-Price Ratio Average 40%
Occupancy Stability Above average 30%
Market Growth Trend Below average 15%
Supply/Demand Balance Average 15%

What This Means for Investors

Keystone's ROI score of 67 out of 100 places it in the 'Attractive Opportunity' band, driven primarily by above-average occupancy stability and an average revenue-to-price ratio that keeps returns competitive despite home values near $892,000. The below-average market growth trend warrants attention — rapid supply increases from a tiny base could pressure per-listing revenue if demand doesn't keep pace. Investors should pair these metrics with on-the-ground regulatory research and a realistic seasonal cash-flow model before committing capital.

Short-Term Rental Regulations in Keystone

Understanding local STR regulations is essential before investing in Keystone. Here's the current regulatory landscape:

Permit Requirements

Short-term rental operators in Keystone, South Dakota may need to obtain a local business license or STR permit before listing a property. Investors should verify current requirements directly with the City of Keystone and Pennington County, as regulations in small resort communities can evolve quickly.

Key Restrictions

Common restrictions in resort-oriented South Dakota communities include occupancy limits tied to bedroom count, parking requirements to manage traffic in small-town centers, and noise ordinances aimed at preserving neighborhood character. HOA or subdivision covenants may impose additional limitations, including outright bans on short-term rentals, so reviewing property-level deed restrictions is essential before purchasing.

Tax Obligations

South Dakota does not levy a state income tax, but STR hosts are typically responsible for state sales tax and any applicable municipal lodging or tourism taxes. Major booking platforms often collect and remit these taxes automatically, though hosts should confirm compliance with the South Dakota Department of Revenue.

Regulations subject to change. Always verify with local authorities before purchasing. A Rabbu partner agent specializing in Keystone can provide current regulatory guidance.

Short-Term Rental Financing for Keystone

Financing an Airbnb investment in Keystone requires lenders who understand STR income. Rabbu partner lenders offer:

  • DSCR Loans: Qualify based on property income, not personal income
  • Low Down Payment: As low as 10–15% for investment properties
  • Fast Closing: 21–30 day average close times
  • STR Experience: Lenders who understand vacation rental underwriting
Connect with a Keystone Lender →

Future Outlook & Long-Term Forecast

"With active listings growing 177% year over year, Keystone's supply is expanding quickly from a very small base, which investors should watch carefully for saturation risk in a market this size. Summer demand tied to Mount Rushmore and Crazy Horse Memorial is unlikely to wane, and ADR during peak months could see modest increases of 2–4% as the destination continues attracting domestic travelers. Off-season occupancy — currently pulling the annual average down to 34% — remains the key variable; properties that capture shoulder-season visitors in May, September, and October will outperform. We estimate annual revenue for well-managed listings could hold in the $50,000–$58,000 range over the next 12–18 months, assuming supply growth moderates."

— Rabbu Market Analysis Team

Frequently asked questions about Airbnb in Keystone, SD

What is the average Airbnb occupancy rate in Keystone?
The average Airbnb occupancy rate in Keystone is currently 34%, which falls below the South Dakota state average of 43%. This lower annual figure reflects the market's intense seasonality — summer months see significantly higher occupancy while winter months are considerably quieter. Investors should plan their financial models around this seasonal pattern rather than expecting consistent year-round bookings.
How much do Airbnb hosts make in Keystone?
Airbnb hosts in Keystone earn an average of $4,483 per month and approximately $53,801 per year based on trailing 12-month booking data. However, monthly revenue varies dramatically — from around $1,341 in February to $10,925 in July. Successful hosts maximize revenue during the peak summer season to offset the quieter winter months.
Is Keystone a good market for Airbnb investment?
Keystone earns an ROI score of 67 out of 100, placing it in the 'Attractive Opportunity' category. The market benefits from above-average occupancy stability and steady tourism demand driven by Mount Rushmore. However, average home values of $891,674 and a pronounced seasonal revenue curve mean investors should carefully model cash flow to ensure the peak summer earnings adequately cover year-round holding costs.
What is the average daily rate (ADR) for Airbnb in Keystone?
The average daily rate for Airbnb listings in Keystone is $252, which is slightly below the South Dakota state average of $261. This rate reflects the mix of property types in a small market of just 14 listings. Properties with premium amenities like hot tubs and outdoor living spaces can often command rates above this average, particularly during the busy summer season.
Are short-term rentals legal in Keystone?
Short-term rentals currently operate in Keystone, South Dakota, as evidenced by active listings in the market. However, specific permit requirements, zoning rules, and tax obligations can vary and may change over time. Investors should consult directly with local authorities in Keystone and Pennington County to confirm current regulations and ensure full compliance before listing a property.
When is peak season for Airbnb in Keystone?
Peak season in Keystone runs from June through August, aligning with summer tourism to Mount Rushmore and the broader Black Hills region. July is the single strongest month, with average listing revenue reaching $10,925. The shoulder months of May ($4,774) and September ($6,047) also show meaningful activity, while November through February represents the slowest period with monthly revenue dropping below $1,800.
How many Airbnbs are there in Keystone?
As of April 2026, there are 14 active Airbnb listings in Keystone. This is a very small market by listing count, though the number has grown significantly with 177% year-over-year growth. The limited supply means less direct competition but also signals that the market is still maturing and could see further changes as more investors enter.
How is Airbnb revenue calculated in Keystone?
The annual and monthly revenue figures for Keystone are derived from the trailing 12 months of historical booking performance for active comparable Airbnb listings in the market — not a forward-looking projection. We average each comparable listing's actual revenue per available night (RevPAN) by month over the past year, drop regional outliers, and roll the remainder up to a market-level historical average. This anchors the figures to what hosts have actually earned recently rather than to forecasts, while still naturally reflecting seasonal peaks and slower months because each month uses its own historical performance. Individual results can vary based on property quality, pricing strategy, and operational management.

About Rabbu Market Data

Rabbu provides Airbnb and short-term rental market data and statistics across the United States. Our mission is to empower investors with accurate insights and easy-to-use tools, so they can confidently identify and act on the best opportunities in the Airbnb market.

What this data includes

  • Regularly updated active Airbnb and STR listing counts for the Keystone market
  • Historical occupancy, ADR, and RevPAN trends based on trailing 12-month booking data
  • Monthly and annual revenue metrics derived from comparable active listings
  • Amenity prevalence data across active short-term rental properties
  • Home value estimates sourced from the Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI)

Sources and disclaimers

Rabbu proprietary analytics as of Apr, 27 2026 and Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) as of Apr, 27 2026. Revenue projections are estimates based on comparable properties and do not guarantee future performance. Data reflects trailing 12-month averages and may not capture very recent market shifts or regulatory changes. Individual property results will vary based on location, condition, amenities, pricing strategy, and management quality.

Next Steps

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