Lake Arrowhead, CA Airbnb Market Data, Statistics, and Occupancy Rates

Lake Arrowhead Short-Term Rental Market Overview

Lake Arrowhead's short-term rental market operates as a seasonal mountain getaway roughly two hours from Los Angeles, drawing weekend visitors and holiday travelers to the San Bernardino Mountains. With 483 active listings, an average daily rate of $383, and an average occupancy rate of 29% — well below the 43% California state average — the market rewards operators who can capture peak-season demand and manage lean months effectively. Average annual revenue sits at $33,687 against an average home value of $863,017, which makes the revenue-to-price ratio a challenge for investors unless they target larger, higher-earning properties.

Key Market Statistics

According to Rabbu market data, the Lake Arrowhead short-term rental market shows:

Data sources: Rabbu proprietary analytics as of Apr, 27 2026 and Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) as of Mar, 17 2026.

Why Investors Consider Lake Arrowhead

Lake Arrowhead attracts investors seeking a mountain-resort vacation rental play near a massive LA metro population base, though low occupancy and a thin revenue-to-price ratio require careful property selection.

Expert Market Assessment

"Lake Arrowhead presents a limited-opportunity profile overall, driven by below-average occupancy and a revenue-to-price ratio that makes breakeven difficult for smaller properties. Seasonality is stark: December revenue ($4,836) runs nearly three times higher than the May trough ($1,744), so cash-flow management across quiet spring and early-summer months is critical. That said, investors targeting 5-bedroom or 6+ bedroom cabins can unlock meaningfully stronger returns — annual revenue for 6+ bedroom properties reaches $90,020, which shifts the math considerably. The market is best suited for investors who can absorb seasonal swings and position a premium property to capture holiday and winter-weekend demand."

— Rabbu Market Analysis Team

Key Airbnb Metrics & Trends in Lake Arrowhead

Average revenue by month in Lake Arrowhead

Lake Arrowhead's revenue cycle is heavily winter-weighted, with December ($4,836) and January ($4,032) generating more than double the revenue of the spring lull in April ($1,878) and May ($1,744). A secondary summer bump in July–August ($3,130–$3,221) provides a mid-year lift, but investors should plan for roughly five months of below-average revenue between April and October.

Active Airbnb listings by property size in Lake Arrowhead

Three-bedroom properties dominate supply with 202 listings (42% of the market), followed by 4-bedrooms at 138. Studios (7) and 1-bedrooms (16) are minimally represented, while 5-bedroom and 6+ bedroom properties remain relatively scarce at 46 and 17 listings respectively — a potential supply gap given their outsized revenue performance.

Average daily rate (ADR) by property size in Lake Arrowhead

ADR scales steeply with size in Lake Arrowhead, from $155 for studios to $934 for 6+ bedroom properties. The jump from 4 bedrooms ($442) to 5 bedrooms ($586) represents a 33% premium, suggesting strong group-travel demand that rewards hosts who can accommodate larger parties.

Average RevPAN by property size in Lake Arrowhead

RevPAN climbs dramatically at the top end, with 6+ bedroom properties delivering $364 per available night — nearly five times the $74 figure for studios and three times the $123 for 4-bedroom units. Five-bedroom properties also perform well at $180 RevPAN, making larger cabins the clear efficiency winners after factoring in occupancy.

Average occupancy rates by property size in Lake Arrowhead

Studios lead occupancy at 48%, while mid-range properties (2–4 bedrooms) cluster around 27–32%. Interestingly, 6+ bedroom properties maintain a healthy 39% occupancy despite their premium pricing, suggesting sustained group-booking demand that supports more consistent cash flow than the market average implies.

Average monthly revenue by property size in Lake Arrowhead

Monthly revenue ranges from $1,913 for 1-bedroom units to $7,501 for 6+ bedroom properties, with a notable inflection point at 4 bedrooms ($3,212) where revenue begins to meaningfully outpace the market average of $2,807. For investors seeking above-average monthly income, properties with four or more bedrooms are the most compelling configurations.

Average annual revenue by property size in Lake Arrowhead

Annual revenue reaches $90,020 for 6+ bedroom properties and $54,581 for 5-bedroom homes, compared to just $28,712 for the most common 3-bedroom category. Given average home values of $863,017, larger properties offer the best shot at a workable revenue-to-price ratio, though investors should still model carefully against acquisition costs.

Most common amenities for Airbnb listings in Lake Arrowhead

Kitchens (99%), parking (95%), and self check-in (93%) are essentially table stakes in Lake Arrowhead, reflecting a market oriented toward self-sufficient cabin stays. Differentiators like hot tubs (27%) and lake access (34%) remain relatively uncommon, suggesting that adding these features could help a listing stand out and command higher rates in a competitive field.

Understanding Lake Arrowhead's ROI Score: 32/100

Rabbu's ROI Score is a proprietary metric that evaluates short-term rental investment potential based on multiple factors.

How the ROI Score is Calculated

What This Means for Investors

Lake Arrowhead's ROI Score of 32 out of 100 places it in the "Limited" investment band, signaling that market-wide returns may not justify acquisition costs without careful property selection. The below-average ratings on Revenue-to-Price Ratio and Occupancy Stability are the primary drags, while Market Growth Trend and Supply/Demand Balance score at average levels. Investors drawn to this market should pair Rabbu's data with detailed local regulatory research and focus on property types — particularly larger cabins — that meaningfully outperform the market average.

Short-Term Rental Regulations in Lake Arrowhead

Understanding local STR regulations is essential before investing in Lake Arrowhead. Here's the current regulatory landscape:

Permit Requirements

Short-term rental operators in Lake Arrowhead and San Bernardino County, California, should expect to obtain an STR permit or business registration before listing a property. Investors are strongly encouraged to verify current permit requirements directly with San Bernardino County planning and zoning offices, as rules can change.

Key Restrictions

Common restrictions in mountain-community STR markets may include occupancy limits tied to bedroom count, minimum-stay requirements during certain periods, noise and quiet-hour ordinances, and on-site parking mandates. HOA rules are especially relevant in Lake Arrowhead's gated communities, and some associations may prohibit or limit short-term rentals entirely, so reviewing CC&Rs before purchasing is essential.

Tax Obligations

STR hosts in California are typically subject to Transient Occupancy Tax (TOT) collected at the county or local level, and potentially state sales tax obligations. Many booking platforms remit TOT on behalf of hosts, but operators should confirm their specific collection and remittance responsibilities with San Bernardino County.

Regulations subject to change. Always verify with local authorities before purchasing. A Rabbu partner agent specializing in Lake Arrowhead can provide current regulatory guidance.

Future Outlook & Long-Term Forecast

"Over the next 12–18 months, Lake Arrowhead is likely to maintain its pronounced winter-peak seasonality, with December and January continuing to drive the bulk of annual revenue. Supply grew significantly (128% year-over-year listing growth), which could put downward pressure on occupancy and ADR if demand doesn't keep pace. Investors should anticipate occupancy in the 27–32% range market-wide, with modest ADR adjustments of 1–3% possible as the market absorbs new supply. Properties that differentiate through size, amenities like hot tubs or lake access, and strong pricing strategies will be best positioned to outperform the average."

— Rabbu Market Analysis Team

Frequently asked questions about Airbnb in Lake Arrowhead, CA

What is the average Airbnb occupancy rate in Lake Arrowhead?

The average Airbnb occupancy rate in Lake Arrowhead is currently 29%, which falls below the California state average of 43%. Occupancy varies by property size — studios lead at 48%, while 3-bedroom cabins average around 27%. The lower market-wide rate reflects Lake Arrowhead's strong seasonality, with demand concentrated in winter months and holiday weekends.

How much do Airbnb hosts make in Lake Arrowhead?

On average, Airbnb hosts in Lake Arrowhead earn approximately $2,807 per month or $33,687 per year based on trailing 12-month performance. Revenue scales significantly with property size: 6+ bedroom properties average $7,501/month ($90,020/year), while 1-bedroom units bring in roughly $1,913/month. December is the highest-earning month at $4,836, while May is the softest at $1,744.

Is Lake Arrowhead a good market for Airbnb investment?

Lake Arrowhead carries a Rabbu ROI Score of 32 out of 100, indicating limited investment potential at the market level. The below-average revenue-to-price ratio and occupancy stability are the primary challenges, with average home values of $863,017 against $33,687 in average annual revenue. However, investors targeting larger properties — particularly 5-bedroom and 6+ bedroom homes — can achieve significantly higher returns, and the market's proximity to Los Angeles ensures a consistent base of weekend and holiday visitors.

What is the average daily rate (ADR) for Airbnb in Lake Arrowhead?

The average daily rate in Lake Arrowhead is $383, which is below the California state average of $551. ADR scales sharply with property size: studios average $155/night while 6+ bedroom properties command $934/night. This pricing reflects the premium that guests place on larger mountain cabins suitable for group getaways.

Are short-term rentals legal in Lake Arrowhead?

Short-term rentals do operate in Lake Arrowhead, with 483 active Airbnb listings in the market. However, operators should verify current permit requirements, zoning rules, and any HOA restrictions with San Bernardino County authorities before purchasing or listing a property. Regulations can change, and some homeowner associations in the area may impose their own limitations on short-term rentals.

When is peak season for Airbnb in Lake Arrowhead?

Peak season in Lake Arrowhead centers on the winter months, with December ($4,836 average revenue) and January ($4,032) leading the year by a wide margin. A secondary peak occurs in July–August ($3,130–$3,221) when families visit for summer recreation. The slowest months are April through June, with May at just $1,744 in average revenue — roughly a third of December's figure.

How many Airbnbs are there in Lake Arrowhead?

There are currently 483 active Airbnb listings in Lake Arrowhead. The market has seen significant supply growth of 128% year-over-year. Three-bedroom properties dominate with 202 listings, followed by 4-bedroom properties at 138 listings. Smaller units (studios and 1-bedrooms) make up a tiny fraction of supply with just 23 combined listings.

How is Airbnb revenue calculated in Lake Arrowhead?

The annual and monthly revenue figures for Lake Arrowhead are derived from the trailing 12 months of historical booking performance for active comparable Airbnb listings in the market — not a forward-looking projection. Rabbu averages each comparable listing's actual revenue per available night (RevPAN) by month over the past year, removes regional outliers, and rolls the remainder up to a market-level historical average. This approach anchors the figures to what hosts have actually earned recently rather than to forecasts, while naturally reflecting seasonal peaks and slower months because each month uses its own historical performance. Individual results can vary based on property quality, pricing strategy, and operational management.

About Rabbu Market Data

Rabbu provides Airbnb and short-term rental market data and statistics across the United States. Our mission is to empower investors with accurate insights and easy-to-use tools, so they can confidently identify and act on the best opportunities in the Airbnb market.

What this data includes

• Regularly updated active Airbnb and STR listing counts for the Lake Arrowhead market
• Average daily rate, occupancy, and RevPAN metrics with state-level benchmarks for context
• Monthly and annual revenue trends based on trailing 12-month historical booking performance
• Property size breakdowns for listings, rates, occupancy, and revenue across bedroom counts
• Data sourced from Rabbu proprietary analytics and Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI)

Sources and disclaimers

Rabbu proprietary analytics as of Apr, 27 2026 and Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) as of Mar, 17 2026. Revenue projections are estimates based on comparable properties and do not guarantee future performance. Data reflects trailing 12-month averages as of the dates noted and may not capture very recent market shifts. Local regulations, HOA rules, and tax obligations vary and should be independently verified before investing.