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View PropertiesAs of Apr, 27 2026
Rabbu ROI Score
Lead offers attractive short-term rental potential, with a balance of healthy demand and revenue relative to property values.
Lead, SD sits at the gateway to the Black Hills — a region that draws outdoor enthusiasts, history buffs, and Sturgis Rally traffic every summer. With 338 active Airbnb listings and a market-wide average daily rate of $338, well above the $261 South Dakota state average, the market commands a noticeable pricing premium. Annual revenue averages $45,969 per listing, though a 23% occupancy rate (compared to 43% statewide) signals a heavily seasonal demand pattern that investors should plan around carefully.
According to Rabbu market data, the Lead short-term rental market shows:
| Metric | Context | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Active Airbnb Listings | As of Apr, 27 2026 | 338 |
| Average Daily Rate (ADR) | vs. $261 state avg. | $338 |
| Average Occupancy Rate | vs. 43% state avg. | 23% |
| RevPAN | ADR * Occupancy Rate | $76 |
| Average Monthly Revenue | Historical 12-month average | $3,830 |
| Average Annual Revenue | Historical 12-month average | $45,969 |
Data sources: Rabbu proprietary analytics as of Apr, 27 2026 and Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) as of Mar, 17 2026.
Lead attracts investor interest because its Black Hills location supports premium nightly rates during a concentrated but high-revenue summer season, and property configurations that accommodate groups can generate strong returns.
Key investment factors
"Lead presents an attractive but decidedly seasonal opportunity for STR investors. The ROI score of 59 out of 100 reflects average marks across revenue-to-price ratio, occupancy stability, market growth, and supply/demand balance — none exceptionally strong, but none weak enough to be a red flag. Revenue is concentrated heavily between June and August, where monthly averages surge past $5,900 and peak at nearly $8,900 in July, while April and November dip below $1,500. Investors who can weather the off-season comfortably and capitalize on group-friendly, amenity-rich properties stand to benefit from Lead's premium pricing environment."
— Rabbu Market Analysis Team
Lead displays extreme seasonality, with July ($8,897) and August ($8,485) generating roughly 4–7x the revenue of the slowest months like April ($1,302) and November ($1,474). Investors should expect the summer window from June through August to account for the lion's share of annual income, making cash-reserve planning for the off-season essential.
| Month | Trend | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| January |
|
$2,196 |
| February |
|
$2,439 |
| March |
|
$2,878 |
| April |
|
$1,302 |
| May |
|
$2,723 |
| June |
|
$5,906 |
| July |
|
$8,897 |
| August |
|
$8,485 |
| September |
|
$4,086 |
| October |
|
$2,769 |
| November |
|
$1,474 |
| December |
|
$2,809 |
Four-bedroom properties dominate Lead's supply with 108 listings, followed by 5-bedrooms (74) and 3-bedrooms (61), indicating the market clearly skews toward group-friendly accommodations. Smaller 1- and 2-bedroom units are comparatively scarce at 19 and 37 listings respectively, which could present a niche opportunity — though their lower revenue potential warrants careful underwriting.
| Size | Trend | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 bedroom |
|
19 |
| 2 bedrooms |
|
37 |
| 3 bedrooms |
|
61 |
| 4 bedrooms |
|
108 |
| 5 bedrooms |
|
74 |
| 6+ bedrooms |
|
39 |
ADR climbs steadily with property size in Lead, from $164 for 1-bedroom units to $557 for 6+ bedroom properties — a 3.4x premium. The sharpest jump occurs between 2-bedroom ($179) and 3-bedroom ($270) listings, suggesting that the move to a 3-bedroom configuration captures meaningfully more nightly revenue per additional room.
| Size | Trend | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 bedroom |
|
$164 |
| 2 bedrooms |
|
$179 |
| 3 bedrooms |
|
$270 |
| 4 bedrooms |
|
$327 |
| 5 bedrooms |
|
$420 |
| 6+ bedrooms |
|
$557 |
RevPAN tells a clear story in Lead: 6+ bedroom properties lead decisively at $163, nearly double the $88 earned by 5-bedroom units and more than 4x the $37 for 1-bedrooms. This steep scaling with size, even after factoring in occupancy, underscores that larger group-oriented properties extract the most value per available night in this market.
| Size | Trend | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 bedroom |
|
$37 |
| 2 bedrooms |
|
$48 |
| 3 bedrooms |
|
$60 |
| 4 bedrooms |
|
$65 |
| 5 bedrooms |
|
$88 |
| 6+ bedrooms |
|
$163 |
Occupancy rates across property sizes in Lead are relatively compressed, ranging from 20% (4-bedrooms) to 29% (6+ bedrooms), with 2-bedrooms also performing well at 27%. The modest spread suggests that size alone doesn't dramatically affect how often a property books — but the combination of higher occupancy and premium ADR makes 6+ bedroom units the clear cash-flow leaders.
| Size | Trend | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 bedroom |
|
23% |
| 2 bedrooms |
|
27% |
| 3 bedrooms |
|
22% |
| 4 bedrooms |
|
20% |
| 5 bedrooms |
|
21% |
| 6+ bedrooms |
|
29% |
Monthly revenue scales reliably with bedroom count, from $1,509 for 1-bedroom listings to $6,939 for 6+ bedroom properties. The jump from 4-bedrooms ($3,810) to 5-bedrooms ($4,863) and then to 6+ bedrooms ($6,939) shows that each incremental bedroom adds substantial earning power, rewarding investors who target larger configurations.
| Size | Trend | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 bedroom |
|
$1,509 |
| 2 bedrooms |
|
$2,064 |
| 3 bedrooms |
|
$3,113 |
| 4 bedrooms |
|
$3,810 |
| 5 bedrooms |
|
$4,863 |
| 6+ bedrooms |
|
$6,939 |
On an annual basis, 6+ bedroom properties in Lead generate approximately $83,278 — more than 4.5x the $18,112 earned by 1-bedroom units and nearly double the $45,725 from 4-bedrooms. Investors targeting the highest absolute returns should focus on larger properties, though acquisition and operating costs must be weighed against the roughly $58,357 and $83,278 annual ceilings for 5- and 6+ bedroom units respectively.
| Size | Trend | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 bedroom |
|
$18,112 |
| 2 bedrooms |
|
$24,779 |
| 3 bedrooms |
|
$37,360 |
| 4 bedrooms |
|
$45,725 |
| 5 bedrooms |
|
$58,357 |
| 6+ bedrooms |
|
$83,278 |
Kitchens (99%), parking (96%), BBQ grills (94%), and washer/dryer (93%) are virtually table stakes in Lead's STR market, while hot tubs appear in 86% of listings — an unusually high rate that signals guests expect this as a near-standard amenity. Properties without a hot tub or outdoor grilling area may struggle to compete, and adding differentiators like pet-friendliness (only 14%) or a sauna (7%) could help newer listings stand out.
| Amenity | Trend | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Kitchen |
|
99% |
| Parking |
|
96% |
| BBQ Grill |
|
94% |
| Washer |
|
93% |
| Dryer |
|
93% |
| Self Check-in |
|
86% |
| Hot Tub |
|
86% |
| Patio or Balcony |
|
67% |
| Outdoor Furniture |
|
49% |
| Pool |
|
34% |
| Workspace |
|
28% |
| Backyard |
|
20% |
| Pets |
|
14% |
| Sauna |
|
7% |
Rabbu's ROI Score is a proprietary metric that evaluates short-term rental investment potential based on multiple factors.
| Factor | Lead Performance | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue-to-Price Ratio | Average | 40% |
| Occupancy Stability | Average | 30% |
| Market Growth Trend | Average | 15% |
| Supply/Demand Balance | Average | 15% |
Lead's ROI score of 59 out of 100 places it in the "Attractive Opportunity" band, reflecting a market where revenue potential and property values are reasonably balanced but not exceptional. All four calculation factors — Revenue-to-Price Ratio, Occupancy Stability, Market Growth Trend, and Supply/Demand Balance — rate as "Average," meaning there's no single standout driver but also no glaring weakness pulling the score down. Investors should pair this score with local regulatory research and a seasonal cash-flow model to determine whether Lead's concentrated summer revenue aligns with their risk tolerance and holding costs.
Understanding local STR regulations is essential before investing in Lead. Here's the current regulatory landscape:
Short-term rental operators in Lead, South Dakota may need to obtain a local business license or STR permit before listing their property. Investors should verify current requirements directly with the City of Lead and Lawrence County, as regulations in the Black Hills region can vary by jurisdiction.
Common restrictions in South Dakota STR markets can include occupancy limits based on property size, noise ordinances, parking requirements, and minimum-stay rules during certain periods. HOA covenants may also impose additional limitations, so reviewing any applicable deed restrictions before purchasing is essential.
South Dakota does not levy a state income tax, but STR operators are generally subject to state sales tax and any applicable municipal lodging or tourism taxes. Platforms like Airbnb often collect and remit these taxes on behalf of hosts, though operators should confirm compliance with South Dakota's Department of Revenue.
Regulations subject to change. Always verify with local authorities before purchasing. A Rabbu partner agent specializing in Lead can provide current regulatory guidance.
Financing an Airbnb investment in Lead requires lenders who understand STR income. Rabbu partner lenders offer:
"Over the next 12–18 months, Lead's STR market is likely to follow its established seasonal rhythm, with summer months (June–August) continuing to drive the bulk of annual revenue. Listing growth has been robust at 119% year-over-year, which could put modest downward pressure on occupancy and ADR if demand doesn't keep pace. Investors should anticipate occupancy hovering in the 20–25% range on an annualized basis, with summer peaks potentially sustaining ADR increases in the 2–4% range as larger properties capture group travel demand. Building a financial model that accounts for lean shoulder and winter months will be critical for realistic return estimates."
— Rabbu Market Analysis Team
Rabbu provides Airbnb and short-term rental market data and statistics across the United States. Our mission is to empower investors with accurate insights and easy-to-use tools, so they can confidently identify and act on the best opportunities in the Airbnb market.
Rabbu proprietary analytics as of Apr, 27 2026 and Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) as of Mar, 17 2026. Revenue projections are estimates based on comparable properties and do not guarantee future performance. Data reflects trailing 12-month historical averages as of April 2026 and may not capture very recent market shifts. Local regulations, HOA rules, and tax obligations should be independently verified before making investment decisions.
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