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View PropertiesAs of Apr, 27 2026
Rabbu ROI Score
Lincoln presents a competitive opportunity: investor interest and demand are strong, but higher prices or tighter competition may require more selective deal sourcing.
Lincoln, CA is a small but growing short-term rental market with just 22 active Airbnb listings and an average annual revenue of $30,471 per property. While the average daily rate of $208 sits well below the California state average of $551, occupancy at 26% also trails the state benchmark of 43%, signaling that this is a niche market where selective deal sourcing matters. A 160% year-over-year increase in active listings points to rising investor interest, though the relatively high average home value of $826,905 means revenue-to-price ratios require careful scrutiny.
According to Rabbu market data, the Lincoln short-term rental market shows:
| Metric | Context | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Active Airbnb Listings | As of Apr, 27 2026 | 22 |
| Average Daily Rate (ADR) | vs. $551 state avg. | $208 |
| Average Occupancy Rate | vs. 43% state avg. | 26% |
| RevPAN | ADR * Occupancy Rate | $53 |
| Average Monthly Revenue | Historical 12-month average | $2,539 |
| Average Annual Revenue | Historical 12-month average | $30,471 |
Data sources: Rabbu proprietary analytics as of Apr, 27 2026 and Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) as of Apr, 27 2026.
Lincoln attracts investor interest thanks to a favorable supply/demand balance and its positioning within the Sacramento metro area, though tighter margins demand disciplined property selection.
Key investment factors
"Lincoln represents a competitive but narrowly scoped opportunity for STR investors. The market's ROI score of 50 out of 100 reflects solid supply/demand dynamics offset by a below-average revenue-to-price ratio and softer growth trends. Seasonality is a defining feature — July revenues of $4,229 are nearly four times the October low of $1,138 — so investors need to plan for meaningful income swings. Hosts who target the 4-bedroom segment and optimize for summer peak demand stand the best chance of generating returns that justify Lincoln's elevated home prices."
— Rabbu Market Analysis Team
Lincoln's revenue curve is sharply seasonal: July leads at $4,229 and August follows at $3,948, while October bottoms out at just $1,138 — a nearly 4x spread from peak to trough. The winter holiday corridor (December through February) provides a secondary revenue bump averaging over $3,100 per month, giving investors two distinct earning windows to build around.
| Month | Trend | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| January |
|
$3,272 |
| February |
|
$3,193 |
| March |
|
$2,927 |
| April |
|
$1,520 |
| May |
|
$1,306 |
| June |
|
$2,111 |
| July |
|
$4,229 |
| August |
|
$3,948 |
| September |
|
$2,294 |
| October |
|
$1,138 |
| November |
|
$1,383 |
| December |
|
$3,147 |
Supply in Lincoln is concentrated at the extremes, with 9 one-bedroom listings and 7 four-bedroom properties making up the entire active inventory. The absence of 2- and 3-bedroom listings may signal an underserved segment where new entrants could differentiate.
| Size | Trend | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 bedroom |
|
9 |
| 4 bedrooms |
|
7 |
ADR scales steeply with size in Lincoln — 4-bedroom homes command $311 per night compared to $127 for 1-bedroom units, a 145% premium. For investors weighing acquisition cost against nightly rate potential, the 4-bedroom tier clearly drives the strongest top-line pricing power.
| Size | Trend | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 bedroom |
|
$127 |
| 4 bedrooms |
|
$311 |
Four-bedroom properties deliver a RevPAN of $77, more than double the $35 generated by 1-bedroom listings. This gap persists even though occupancy rates are similar, underscoring that larger homes extract significantly more value per available night in this market.
| Size | Trend | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 bedroom |
|
$35 |
| 4 bedrooms |
|
$77 |
Occupancy rates are closely matched across property sizes, with 1-bedroom units at 28% and 4-bedroom homes at 25%. The narrow spread suggests that demand pressure is consistent regardless of size, and that revenue differences are driven primarily by rate rather than fill rates.
| Size | Trend | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 bedroom |
|
28% |
| 4 bedrooms |
|
25% |
Four-bedroom properties generate $4,438 per month on average — nearly triple the $1,521 earned by 1-bedroom listings. This makes the larger configuration the clear revenue leader, though investors should weigh the higher acquisition and operating costs that come with bigger homes.
| Size | Trend | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 bedroom |
|
$1,521 |
| 4 bedrooms |
|
$4,438 |
At $53,265 annually, 4-bedroom homes in Lincoln earn roughly 2.9 times the $18,252 generated by 1-bedroom properties. For investors seeking the highest gross revenue potential in this market, the 4-bedroom segment offers the strongest return trajectory, provided purchase prices support the economics.
| Size | Trend | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 bedroom |
|
$18,252 |
| 4 bedrooms |
|
$53,265 |
Parking tops the amenity list at 96%, followed by kitchen (86%) and washer/dryer/self check-in (each 77%), reflecting a guest base that expects home-like conveniences and easy arrival. Outdoor features like patios (73%), backyards (64%), and BBQ grills (50%) are also common, suggesting that listings without these staples may struggle to compete for bookings.
| Amenity | Trend | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Parking |
|
96% |
| Kitchen |
|
86% |
| Washer |
|
77% |
| Self Check-in |
|
77% |
| Dryer |
|
77% |
| Patio or Balcony |
|
73% |
| Workspace |
|
64% |
| Backyard |
|
64% |
| Outdoor Furniture |
|
55% |
| BBQ Grill |
|
50% |
| Pets |
|
36% |
| Hot Tub |
|
14% |
| Waterfront |
|
14% |
| Gym |
|
9% |
Rabbu's ROI Score is a proprietary metric that evaluates short-term rental investment potential based on multiple factors.
| Factor | Lincoln Performance | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue-to-Price Ratio | Below average | 40% |
| Occupancy Stability | Average | 30% |
| Market Growth Trend | Below average | 15% |
| Supply/Demand Balance | Above average | 15% |
Lincoln's ROI score of 50 out of 100 lands it in the 'Competitive Opportunity' band, where strong investor interest and demand are tempered by tighter margins. The below-average revenue-to-price ratio — driven by home values near $827K against roughly $30K in annual revenue — is the primary headwind, while an above-average supply/demand balance and average occupancy stability offer some counterweight. Pairing this data with thorough local regulatory research and a focus on higher-earning 4-bedroom properties can help investors identify deals that pencil within this competitive landscape.
Understanding local STR regulations is essential before investing in Lincoln. Here's the current regulatory landscape:
Short-term rental operators in Lincoln, California may be required to obtain a permit or business license before listing their property. Investors should verify current requirements directly with the City of Lincoln and Placer County, as regulations can evolve quickly in growing markets.
Common restrictions in California STR markets include occupancy limits, minimum-night stay requirements, noise ordinances, parking mandates, and potential HOA rules that may prohibit or limit rentals. Some jurisdictions also impose caps on the number of permits issued, so it's worth confirming availability before purchasing a property.
STR hosts in California are typically subject to transient occupancy taxes (TOT), and in some cases additional tourism or sales taxes. Platforms like Airbnb often collect and remit these taxes on behalf of hosts, but operators should confirm their obligations with Placer County and the City of Lincoln to ensure full compliance.
Regulations subject to change. Always verify with local authorities before purchasing. A Rabbu partner agent specializing in Lincoln can provide current regulatory guidance.
Financing an Airbnb investment in Lincoln requires lenders who understand STR income. Rabbu partner lenders offer:
"Over the next 12–18 months, Lincoln's STR market is likely to see continued supply growth as investor attention follows the recent 160% jump in listings. Seasonal patterns suggest revenue will concentrate in the summer months — particularly July and August — with softer stretches in the spring and fall. ADR may edge up modestly in the 1–3% range as hosts refine pricing strategies, though occupancy could face downward pressure if new supply outpaces demand growth. Investors entering now should plan around the pronounced seasonality and budget conservatively for shoulder months."
— Rabbu Market Analysis Team
Rabbu provides Airbnb and short-term rental market data and statistics across the United States. Our mission is to empower investors with accurate insights and easy-to-use tools, so they can confidently identify and act on the best opportunities in the Airbnb market.
Rabbu proprietary analytics as of Apr, 27 2026 and Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) as of Apr, 27 2026. Revenue projections are estimates based on comparable properties and do not guarantee future performance. Data reflects trailing 12-month performance as of April 2026; market conditions, regulations, and listing dynamics may have changed since the data was collected. Individual property results will vary based on location, quality, pricing strategy, and management approach.
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