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View PropertiesAs of Apr, 27 2026
Rabbu ROI Score
Menifee presents a competitive opportunity: investor interest and demand are strong, but higher prices or tighter competition may require more selective deal sourcing.
Menifee, CA is a small but growing short-term rental market in Southern California's Inland Empire, with just 18 active Airbnb listings and a 129% year-over-year increase in supply. The market's average annual revenue of $26,265 and an ADR of $216 sit well below the state average of $551, reflecting both the area's more affordable positioning and the competitive challenge of generating strong returns against home values averaging nearly $687,000. While the favorable supply/demand balance suggests room for well-positioned listings, investors will need to be selective in deal sourcing to make the numbers work.
According to Rabbu market data, the Menifee short-term rental market shows:
| Metric | Context | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Active Airbnb Listings | As of Apr, 27 2026 | 18 |
| Average Daily Rate (ADR) | vs. $551 state avg. | $216 |
| Average Occupancy Rate | vs. 43% state avg. | 33% |
| RevPAN | ADR * Occupancy Rate | $72 |
| Average Monthly Revenue | Historical 12-month average | $2,188 |
| Average Annual Revenue | Historical 12-month average | $26,265 |
Data sources: Rabbu proprietary analytics as of Apr, 27 2026 and Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) as of Apr, 27 2026.
Menifee draws investor attention for its relatively affordable entry point compared to coastal California markets, though tighter competition and below-average occupancy demand careful property selection.
Key investment factors
"Menifee presents a competitive but constrained opportunity for STR investors. The ROI score of 35 out of 100 reflects below-average revenue-to-price ratios and occupancy stability, meaning the current economics require careful underwriting rather than passive confidence. On the positive side, the market benefits from an above-average supply/demand balance — with only 18 active listings, well-differentiated properties have room to capture share. Pronounced seasonality is worth noting: April leads at $4,316 in average monthly revenue, while September bottoms out at $1,401, creating a swing of over $2,900 that operators need to plan around."
— Rabbu Market Analysis Team
Menifee's revenue cycle is heavily spring-weighted, with April topping out at $4,316 and March close behind at $3,643, while the summer and fall months are notably softer — September bottoms out at just $1,401. This $2,900+ spread between peak and trough months means investors should plan for significant cash flow variability throughout the year.
| Month | Trend | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| January |
|
$2,031 |
| February |
|
$2,581 |
| March |
|
$3,643 |
| April |
|
$4,316 |
| May |
|
$1,732 |
| June |
|
$1,507 |
| July |
|
$1,821 |
| August |
|
$1,830 |
| September |
|
$1,401 |
| October |
|
$1,424 |
| November |
|
$1,953 |
| December |
|
$2,022 |
The market's active inventory is concentrated entirely in 1-bedroom properties, with all 7 listings (out of 18 total with reported size data) falling in that category. This narrow supply mix could signal an opportunity for investors willing to bring larger, differentiated properties to the market.
| Size | Trend | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 bedroom |
|
7 |
One-bedroom listings in Menifee command an ADR of $112, which is roughly half the market-wide average of $216 — suggesting that the overall ADR is being pulled up by unlisted or differently sized properties. Investors considering 1-bedroom units should build their models around this lower nightly rate rather than the headline figure.
| Size | Trend | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 bedroom |
|
$112 |
One-bedroom properties generate a RevPAN of $41, which accounts for occupancy drag on the $112 ADR. This relatively modest figure underscores the importance of maximizing both nightly rate and booking frequency to achieve viable returns on smaller units in Menifee.
| Size | Trend | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 bedroom |
|
$41 |
One-bedroom listings maintain a 37% occupancy rate, which is slightly above the market-wide average of 33% but still signals that properties sit vacant roughly two-thirds of the time. Investors focused on cash-flow stability should explore strategies like mid-term stays or dynamic pricing to fill more nights.
| Size | Trend | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 bedroom |
|
37% |
One-bedroom properties average $1,199 per month in revenue, sitting well below the market-wide $2,188 monthly average. This gap suggests that larger or differently configured properties in the market are driving the majority of revenue, reinforcing the potential upside of listing bigger units.
| Size | Trend | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 bedroom |
|
$1,199 |
At $14,391 per year, 1-bedroom properties earn roughly 55% of the market-wide annual average of $26,265. Investors targeting the best return potential in Menifee should weigh whether larger properties — which appear to command significantly higher revenue — justify the additional acquisition and operating costs.
| Size | Trend | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 bedroom |
|
$14,391 |
Parking dominates at 94%, followed by kitchen access (83%) and washer/dryer availability (67–72%), reflecting a guest base that expects home-like conveniences and drives to the area. Outdoor amenities like backyards (61%), patios (56%), and BBQ grills (56%) are also prevalent, while differentiators like pools (28%), lake access (28%), and hot tubs (11%) remain less common and could help listings stand out.
| Amenity | Trend | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Parking |
|
94% |
| Kitchen |
|
83% |
| Washer |
|
72% |
| Self Check-in |
|
67% |
| Dryer |
|
67% |
| Outdoor Furniture |
|
61% |
| Backyard |
|
61% |
| Patio or Balcony |
|
56% |
| BBQ Grill |
|
56% |
| Workspace |
|
44% |
| Lake Access |
|
28% |
| Pets |
|
28% |
| Pool |
|
28% |
| Hot Tub |
|
11% |
Rabbu's ROI Score is a proprietary metric that evaluates short-term rental investment potential based on multiple factors.
| Factor | Menifee Performance | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue-to-Price Ratio | Below average | 40% |
| Occupancy Stability | Below average | 30% |
| Market Growth Trend | Average | 15% |
| Supply/Demand Balance | Above average | 15% |
Menifee's ROI score of 35 out of 100 places it in the "Competitive Opportunity" band, signaling that while investor interest and demand exist, the path to strong returns requires more deliberate deal selection. The below-average marks on revenue-to-price ratio and occupancy stability are the primary drags — with home values near $687K and annual revenue averaging $26,265, the yield math is tight without a well-priced acquisition. Investors should pair this data with thorough local regulatory research and consider differentiation strategies, as the above-average supply/demand balance suggests the right property can still outperform in this small market.
Understanding local STR regulations is essential before investing in Menifee. Here's the current regulatory landscape:
The City of Menifee, California may require short-term rental operators to obtain a business license or STR permit before listing their property. Investors should verify current registration requirements directly with the city's planning or community development department, as local STR regulations in California communities can evolve quickly.
Common restrictions that may apply in Menifee include occupancy limits, minimum stay requirements, noise ordinances, parking mandates, and potential HOA rules that could prohibit or limit short-term rentals in certain neighborhoods. Some California municipalities also impose caps on the number of permits issued, so it's important to check availability before purchasing a property specifically for STR use.
Short-term rental operators in California are generally subject to Transient Occupancy Tax (TOT), and Menifee may impose its own local rate on stays of fewer than 30 days. Platforms like Airbnb often collect and remit these taxes automatically, but hosts should confirm their obligations with the city to ensure full compliance.
Regulations subject to change. Always verify with local authorities before purchasing. A Rabbu partner agent specializing in Menifee can provide current regulatory guidance.
Financing an Airbnb investment in Menifee requires lenders who understand STR income. Rabbu partner lenders offer:
"Over the next 12–18 months, Menifee's STR market is likely to see continued supply growth as more investors discover the area, though the rapid 129% listing increase could compress margins if demand doesn't keep pace. Seasonal data suggests revenue peaks in March–April, so operators should plan pricing strategies around that spring surge while expecting softer months from June through October. ADR may hold steady or see modest 1–3% gains given the market's affordable positioning relative to coastal California, but occupancy will need to climb from its current 33% to meaningfully improve cash flow — something that will hinge on listing quality and targeted marketing."
— Rabbu Market Analysis Team
Rabbu provides Airbnb and short-term rental market data and statistics across the United States. Our mission is to empower investors with accurate insights and easy-to-use tools, so they can confidently identify and act on the best opportunities in the Airbnb market.
Rabbu proprietary analytics as of Apr, 27 2026 and Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) as of Apr, 27 2026. Revenue projections are estimates based on comparable properties and do not guarantee future performance. Data reflects trailing 12-month historical averages and may not account for recent regulatory changes or market shifts. Individual property results will vary based on location, quality, pricing strategy, and operational management.
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