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View PropertiesAs of Apr, 27 2026
Rabbu ROI Score
New Buffalo presents a competitive opportunity: investor interest and demand are strong, but higher prices or tighter competition may require more selective deal sourcing.
New Buffalo, MI, is a highly seasonal Lake Michigan beach market where summer demand drives outsized nightly rates — the current ADR of $396 sits well above Michigan's $350 state average. However, the market's 18% average occupancy rate reflects the concentrated nature of that demand, and with average home values around $1.3 million, the revenue-to-price ratio demands careful deal sourcing. With 150 active listings and year-over-year listing growth holding steady at 103%, competition is real but manageable for investors who can capture peak-season revenue effectively.
According to Rabbu market data, the New Buffalo short-term rental market shows:
| Metric | Context | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Active Airbnb Listings | As of Apr, 27 2026 | 150 |
| Average Daily Rate (ADR) | vs. $350 state avg. | $396 |
| Average Occupancy Rate | vs. 42% state avg. | 18% |
| RevPAN | ADR * Occupancy Rate | $69 |
| Average Monthly Revenue | Historical 12-month average | $4,391 |
| Average Annual Revenue | Historical 12-month average | $52,696 |
Data sources: Rabbu proprietary analytics as of Apr, 27 2026 and Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) as of Mar, 17 2026.
Investors are drawn to New Buffalo for its premium nightly rates and proximity to the Chicago metro area as a weekend and summer getaway destination, though the seasonal revenue concentration and elevated home prices require disciplined underwriting.
Key investment factors
"New Buffalo presents a competitive but nuanced opportunity. The market's strength is concentrated in June through August — July alone averages $11,276 in revenue per listing — while winter months dip below $1,700, creating a wide seasonal spread that investors must plan around. With a below-average revenue-to-price ratio and average occupancy stability, profitability hinges on selecting the right property size and maximizing peak-season capture. Larger homes with premium amenities are best positioned to justify the market's elevated entry costs."
— Rabbu Market Analysis Team
New Buffalo exhibits extreme seasonality: July leads at $11,276 in average revenue — nearly seven times the February low of $1,612. The core earning window spans June through September, accounting for the vast majority of annual income, which means investors need strong peak-season execution to hit their return targets.
| Month | Trend | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| January |
|
$1,672 |
| February |
|
$1,612 |
| March |
|
$2,186 |
| April |
|
$2,144 |
| May |
|
$4,155 |
| June |
|
$6,114 |
| July |
|
$11,276 |
| August |
|
$9,735 |
| September |
|
$5,290 |
| October |
|
$3,734 |
| November |
|
$2,590 |
| December |
|
$2,183 |
Supply is most concentrated in 3-bedroom (35 listings) and 4-bedroom (36 listings) properties, which together account for nearly half of all active inventory. Smaller units (1–2 bedrooms) represent about a third of supply, while 5-bedroom and 6+ bedroom homes are comparatively scarce at 17 and 12 listings respectively — a potential signal of less competition at the larger end.
| Size | Trend | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 bedroom |
|
23 |
| 2 bedrooms |
|
25 |
| 3 bedrooms |
|
35 |
| 4 bedrooms |
|
36 |
| 5 bedrooms |
|
17 |
| 6+ bedrooms |
|
12 |
ADR scales steeply with bedroom count in New Buffalo, rising from $158 for 1-bedroom units to $1,017 for 6+ bedroom homes. The sharpest jumps occur at the 4-bedroom tier ($490) and above, suggesting that larger properties capture a significant premium that may justify higher acquisition and operating costs.
| Size | Trend | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 bedroom |
|
$158 |
| 2 bedrooms |
|
$215 |
| 3 bedrooms |
|
$288 |
| 4 bedrooms |
|
$490 |
| 5 bedrooms |
|
$592 |
| 6+ bedrooms |
|
$1,017 |
RevPAN follows a dramatic upward curve: 1-bedroom listings generate just $19 per available night, while 6+ bedroom properties deliver $330 — more than 17 times as much. Even at the 4-bedroom level ($92 RevPAN), the efficiency gains over smaller units are substantial, underscoring the revenue advantages of larger configurations in this market.
| Size | Trend | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 bedroom |
|
$19 |
| 2 bedrooms |
|
$29 |
| 3 bedrooms |
|
$49 |
| 4 bedrooms |
|
$92 |
| 5 bedrooms |
|
$102 |
| 6+ bedrooms |
|
$330 |
Occupancy rates are modest across the board given the seasonal nature of the market, ranging from 12% for 1-bedroom units to 33% for 6+ bedroom homes. Properties with 4 or more bedrooms consistently achieve higher occupancy than smaller units, suggesting that larger group-oriented rentals have broader booking appeal even outside peak months.
| Size | Trend | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 bedroom |
|
12% |
| 2 bedrooms |
|
13% |
| 3 bedrooms |
|
17% |
| 4 bedrooms |
|
19% |
| 5 bedrooms |
|
17% |
| 6+ bedrooms |
|
33% |
Monthly revenue ranges from $2,868 for 1-bedroom listings to $14,444 for 6+ bedroom properties, with a notable jump above the 3-bedroom tier. Four- and 5-bedroom homes average $5,659 and $6,021 per month respectively, representing a solid middle ground between acquisition cost and revenue potential.
| Size | Trend | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 bedroom |
|
$2,868 |
| 2 bedrooms |
|
$3,326 |
| 3 bedrooms |
|
$3,809 |
| 4 bedrooms |
|
$5,659 |
| 5 bedrooms |
|
$6,021 |
| 6+ bedrooms |
|
$14,444 |
Annual revenue potential climbs from $34,416 for 1-bedroom units to $173,333 for 6+ bedroom homes, with the largest properties earning roughly five times what a 1-bedroom generates. For investors weighing entry cost against returns, the 4-bedroom tier at $67,914 annually offers meaningful revenue without the premium price tag typically associated with the largest lakefront estates.
| Size | Trend | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 bedroom |
|
$34,416 |
| 2 bedrooms |
|
$39,921 |
| 3 bedrooms |
|
$45,716 |
| 4 bedrooms |
|
$67,914 |
| 5 bedrooms |
|
$72,256 |
| 6+ bedrooms |
|
$173,333 |
Every listing in New Buffalo includes a kitchen, and 94% offer parking — both essential for the drive-in vacation guest profile. Outdoor amenities like BBQ grills (75%), backyards (67%), and patios (64%) are also prevalent, reflecting guest expectations for an outdoor-oriented lakeside stay. Differentiators like hot tubs (32%), pools (27%), and lake access (26%) are less common and may offer competitive advantages for listings that include them.
| Amenity | Trend | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Kitchen |
|
100% |
| Parking |
|
94% |
| Washer |
|
91% |
| Self Check-in |
|
89% |
| Dryer |
|
87% |
| BBQ Grill |
|
75% |
| Backyard |
|
67% |
| Patio or Balcony |
|
64% |
| Workspace |
|
55% |
| Outdoor Furniture |
|
53% |
| Pets |
|
33% |
| Hot Tub |
|
32% |
| Pool |
|
27% |
| Lake Access |
|
26% |
Rabbu's ROI Score is a proprietary metric that evaluates short-term rental investment potential based on multiple factors.
| Factor | New Buffalo Performance | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue-to-Price Ratio | Below average | 40% |
| Occupancy Stability | Average | 30% |
| Market Growth Trend | Average | 15% |
| Supply/Demand Balance | Below average | 15% |
New Buffalo's ROI Score of 46 out of 100 places it in the 'Competitive Opportunity' band, reflecting a market where strong demand and premium pricing are offset by high property costs and seasonal occupancy patterns. The below-average revenue-to-price ratio is the most significant headwind — with average home values near $1.3 million, deal selection becomes critical to achieving acceptable returns. Investors should pair this data with thorough local regulatory research and focus on property sizes and amenity packages that maximize peak-season capture.
Understanding local STR regulations is essential before investing in New Buffalo. Here's the current regulatory landscape:
Short-term rental operators in New Buffalo, Michigan, should verify whether a local STR permit or registration is required before listing a property. The City of New Buffalo and surrounding Berrien County may each have their own requirements, so investors are encouraged to confirm directly with local planning and zoning offices.
Common restrictions in Michigan beach communities can include occupancy limits tied to bedroom count, minimum-night stay requirements during certain periods, noise ordinances, parking capacity mandates, and potential HOA restrictions in resort or planned communities. Investors should review any applicable zoning overlays and homeowner association covenants before purchasing.
Michigan imposes a state use tax and local jurisdictions may require collection of an accommodations or excise tax on short-term rentals. Platforms like Airbnb often collect and remit state-level taxes on behalf of hosts, but operators should confirm their obligations for any additional local levies.
Regulations subject to change. Always verify with local authorities before purchasing. A Rabbu partner agent specializing in New Buffalo can provide current regulatory guidance.
Financing an Airbnb investment in New Buffalo requires lenders who understand STR income. Rabbu partner lenders offer:
"Over the next 12–18 months, New Buffalo's deeply seasonal pattern is unlikely to shift materially — July and August will continue to anchor the majority of annual income. Investors can anticipate ADR holding in the $390–$410 range given the market's premium positioning, though occupancy gains may be modest at best as new supply enters. The shoulder months of May, September, and October offer the most realistic upside if hosts invest in pricing strategy and amenity differentiation. Expect annual revenues to remain in the $50,000–$55,000 range for the average listing, with larger properties capable of meaningfully exceeding that figure."
— Rabbu Market Analysis Team
Rabbu provides Airbnb and short-term rental market data and statistics across the United States. Our mission is to empower investors with accurate insights and easy-to-use tools, so they can confidently identify and act on the best opportunities in the Airbnb market.
Rabbu proprietary analytics as of Apr, 27 2026 and Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) as of Mar, 17 2026. Revenue projections are estimates based on comparable properties and do not guarantee future performance. Data reflects trailing 12-month averages as of the dates noted and may not capture very recent market shifts. Local regulations and tax obligations are subject to change; investors should verify current rules with municipal authorities before purchasing.
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