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View PropertiesAs of Apr, 27 2026
Rabbu ROI Score
North Fork presents a competitive opportunity: investor interest and demand are strong, but higher prices or tighter competition may require more selective deal sourcing.
North Fork, CA is a small, nature-oriented short-term rental market tucked into the Sierra Nevada foothills with just 26 active Airbnb listings. With an average daily rate of $281 and annual revenue averaging $30,308, the market offers modest but accessible returns — though its 28% occupancy rate sits well below the California state average of 43%. A 262% year-over-year jump in active listings signals rising investor interest, which means early movers should act strategically to secure the best-positioned properties before competition tightens further.
According to Rabbu market data, the North Fork short-term rental market shows:
| Metric | Context | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Active Airbnb Listings | As of Apr, 27 2026 | 26 |
| Average Daily Rate (ADR) | vs. $551 state avg. | $281 |
| Average Occupancy Rate | vs. 43% state avg. | 28% |
| RevPAN | ADR * Occupancy Rate | $78 |
| Average Monthly Revenue | Historical 12-month average | $2,525 |
| Average Annual Revenue | Historical 12-month average | $30,308 |
Data sources: Rabbu proprietary analytics as of Apr, 27 2026 and Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) as of Apr, 27 2026.
Investors are drawn to North Fork for its low entry-level competition, strong summer demand driven by Sierra Nevada tourism, and a rapidly growing supply that signals increasing market awareness.
Key investment factors
"North Fork presents a competitive but niche opportunity best suited for investors who understand the rhythms of a seasonal mountain market. Revenue swings dramatically from a winter low of roughly $1,285 in January to a summer peak of $4,766 in July — a spread that underscores how dependent cash flow is on the May-through-August corridor. The ROI score of 39 out of 100 reflects average revenue-to-price dynamics and below-average occupancy stability, meaning investors will need to source deals carefully and manage costs tightly during off-peak months to make the numbers work."
— Rabbu Market Analysis Team
North Fork's revenue profile is heavily seasonal, peaking at $4,766 in July and bottoming out at $1,285 in January — a nearly 3.7x spread. The four-month summer window from May through August accounts for a disproportionate share of annual income, making it critical for investors to maximize pricing and availability during this period.
| Month | Trend | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| January |
|
$1,285 |
| February |
|
$1,346 |
| March |
|
$1,587 |
| April |
|
$2,210 |
| May |
|
$3,281 |
| June |
|
$4,257 |
| July |
|
$4,766 |
| August |
|
$3,341 |
| September |
|
$2,432 |
| October |
|
$1,918 |
| November |
|
$1,755 |
| December |
|
$2,125 |
Supply is concentrated among 2-bedroom (6 listings) and 3-bedroom (7 listings) properties, with 4-bedrooms accounting for 5 listings. The relatively even distribution across sizes means no single configuration dominates, though the small total count of 26 leaves room for new entrants across all property types.
| Size | Trend | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 2 bedrooms |
|
6 |
| 3 bedrooms |
|
7 |
| 4 bedrooms |
|
5 |
ADR scales cleanly with property size: 2-bedrooms average $174, 3-bedrooms $273, and 4-bedrooms command $340 per night. The jump from 2 to 3 bedrooms represents the steepest rate increase at roughly $100 per night, suggesting that the extra bedroom adds significant perceived value for guests.
| Size | Trend | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 2 bedrooms |
|
$174 |
| 3 bedrooms |
|
$273 |
| 4 bedrooms |
|
$340 |
Three-bedroom properties deliver the strongest RevPAN at $86, outperforming both 2-bedrooms ($73) and 4-bedrooms ($50). The sharp drop-off for 4-bedroom units reflects their much lower occupancy, indicating that larger homes struggle to fill nights consistently despite commanding higher nightly rates.
| Size | Trend | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 2 bedrooms |
|
$73 |
| 3 bedrooms |
|
$86 |
| 4 bedrooms |
|
$50 |
Occupancy declines steeply as property size increases: 2-bedrooms lead at 42%, followed by 3-bedrooms at 32%, while 4-bedroom listings average just 15%. For investors prioritizing consistent bookings and cash-flow stability, smaller properties in North Fork clearly offer a more reliable occupancy profile.
| Size | Trend | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 2 bedrooms |
|
42% |
| 3 bedrooms |
|
32% |
| 4 bedrooms |
|
15% |
Despite lower nightly rates, 2-bedroom listings generate the highest monthly revenue at $3,056, edging out 3-bedrooms ($2,616) and 4-bedrooms ($2,363). Higher occupancy among smaller units more than compensates for their lower ADR, making them the most productive earners on a per-month basis.
| Size | Trend | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 2 bedrooms |
|
$3,056 |
| 3 bedrooms |
|
$2,616 |
| 4 bedrooms |
|
$2,363 |
Annual revenue follows the same pattern, with 2-bedroom properties topping the market at $36,678, followed by 3-bedrooms at $31,394 and 4-bedrooms at $28,362. Investors seeking the best return potential relative to acquisition and operating costs may find 2- and 3-bedroom configurations most compelling in North Fork.
| Size | Trend | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 2 bedrooms |
|
$36,678 |
| 3 bedrooms |
|
$31,394 |
| 4 bedrooms |
|
$28,362 |
Parking and kitchen access are near-universal at 96%, while outdoor-oriented amenities like outdoor furniture (92%), BBQ grills (85%), and backyards (81%) dominate the listings — a clear signal that guests expect a cabin-and-nature experience. Pet-friendliness (62%) and hot tubs (27%) represent differentiators that can help a property stand out in this outdoors-focused market.
| Amenity | Trend | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Parking |
|
96% |
| Kitchen |
|
96% |
| Self Check-in |
|
92% |
| Outdoor Furniture |
|
92% |
| BBQ Grill |
|
85% |
| Backyard |
|
81% |
| Patio or Balcony |
|
77% |
| Dryer |
|
69% |
| Washer |
|
69% |
| Pets |
|
62% |
| Workspace |
|
50% |
| Hot Tub |
|
27% |
| EV Charger |
|
15% |
| Lake Access |
|
15% |
Rabbu's ROI Score is a proprietary metric that evaluates short-term rental investment potential based on multiple factors.
| Factor | North Fork Performance | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue-to-Price Ratio | Average | 40% |
| Occupancy Stability | Below average | 30% |
| Market Growth Trend | Above average | 15% |
| Supply/Demand Balance | Average | 15% |
North Fork's ROI Score of 39 out of 100 places it in the Competitive Opportunity band, reflecting average revenue-to-price and supply/demand dynamics paired with below-average occupancy stability — the primary drag on the score. The above-average market growth trend is an encouraging counterpoint, suggesting that traveler demand is building even as the listing count expands. Investors should pair this data with thorough local regulatory research and a realistic seasonal cash-flow model before committing to a purchase.
Understanding local STR regulations is essential before investing in North Fork. Here's the current regulatory landscape:
Short-term rental operators in North Fork, located in Madera County, California, should verify whether a permit or registration is required with Madera County's planning and code enforcement offices. Requirements can evolve, so checking with local authorities before listing a property is strongly recommended.
Common STR restrictions in California communities can include occupancy limits, minimum-stay requirements, noise ordinances, and parking standards. Some areas may also impose caps on the number of active permits or require compliance with HOA rules, so investors should review all applicable local and community-level regulations before proceeding.
Short-term rental hosts in California are typically subject to transient occupancy taxes, and some jurisdictions may also levy tourism or local assessment fees. Platforms like Airbnb often collect and remit certain taxes on behalf of hosts, but operators should confirm their specific obligations with Madera County and the California Department of Tax and Fee Administration.
Regulations subject to change. Always verify with local authorities before purchasing. A Rabbu partner agent specializing in North Fork can provide current regulatory guidance.
Financing an Airbnb investment in North Fork requires lenders who understand STR income. Rabbu partner lenders offer:
"Seasonal demand in North Fork peaks sharply in June and July, when monthly revenue climbs above $4,200, suggesting that summer outdoor recreation remains the primary draw. Over the next 12–18 months, the market's above-average growth trend could push ADR up modestly — perhaps 2–5% — as new supply is absorbed and listing quality improves. However, the below-average occupancy stability means investors should plan conservatively and budget for lean winter months when revenue may dip below $1,400. Pairing a competitive pricing strategy with strong amenities will be critical for outperforming the market average."
— Rabbu Market Analysis Team
Rabbu provides Airbnb and short-term rental market data and statistics across the United States. Our mission is to empower investors with accurate insights and easy-to-use tools, so they can confidently identify and act on the best opportunities in the Airbnb market.
Rabbu proprietary analytics as of Apr, 27 2026 and Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) as of Apr, 27 2026. Revenue projections are estimates based on comparable properties and do not guarantee future performance. Data reflects trailing 12-month performance and market conditions as of April 2026; actual results may differ as conditions evolve. Local regulations, permit requirements, and tax obligations are subject to change — investors should verify current rules with local authorities before purchasing or listing a property.
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