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View PropertiesAs of Apr, 27 2026
Rabbu ROI Score
San Rafael presents a competitive opportunity: investor interest and demand are strong, but higher prices or tighter competition may require more selective deal sourcing.
San Rafael sits in one of the Bay Area's most desirable corridors, yet its short-term rental market remains relatively compact with just 94 active Airbnb listings. Average annual revenue comes in at $34,373 on a trailing 12-month basis, while an ADR of $283 — well below the $551 California state average — keeps nightly pricing accessible to a broader range of travelers. With home values averaging nearly $1.8 million, the revenue-to-price ratio is tight, making deal sourcing and property selection critical for anyone looking to invest here.
According to Rabbu market data, the San Rafael short-term rental market shows:
| Metric | Context | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Active Airbnb Listings | As of Apr, 27 2026 | 94 |
| Average Daily Rate (ADR) | vs. $551 state avg. | $283 |
| Average Occupancy Rate | vs. 43% state avg. | 43% |
| RevPAN | ADR * Occupancy Rate | $122 |
| Average Monthly Revenue | Historical 12-month average | $2,864 |
| Average Annual Revenue | Historical 12-month average | $34,373 |
Data sources: Rabbu proprietary analytics as of Apr, 27 2026 and Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) as of Mar, 17 2026.
San Rafael draws investor interest because of its proximity to San Francisco, strong occupancy stability, and a guest profile that values both leisure and work-friendly stays.
Key investment factors
"San Rafael represents a competitive opportunity rather than an easy win. The ROI score of 42 out of 100 reflects strong occupancy fundamentals — above-average stability — but the revenue-to-price ratio is below average given $1.8M average home values against $34,373 in annual revenue. Seasonality is pronounced: July and August pull in roughly $4,000 per month, while January and February dip below $2,000, so investors need to plan for meaningful cash-flow swings. Selective deal sourcing and targeting larger property configurations can meaningfully improve returns in this market."
— Rabbu Market Analysis Team
San Rafael shows clear summer-driven seasonality, with July ($4,021) and August ($4,000) generating roughly double the revenue of the January ($1,920) and February ($1,953) lows. The spread between peak and off-peak months signals that investors should budget for meaningful winter softness and consider dynamic pricing to maximize summer gains.
| Month | Trend | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| January |
|
$1,920 |
| February |
|
$1,953 |
| March |
|
$2,514 |
| April |
|
$2,603 |
| May |
|
$2,815 |
| June |
|
$3,228 |
| July |
|
$4,021 |
| August |
|
$4,000 |
| September |
|
$3,175 |
| October |
|
$2,945 |
| November |
|
$2,606 |
| December |
|
$2,588 |
One-bedroom listings dominate the market with 53 of the 94 active properties, while 3-bedroom and studio units each account for just 6 listings. The relatively thin supply of 3-bedroom homes is notable given their outsized revenue potential, which could represent an opportunity for investors willing to target that segment.
| Size | Trend | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Studio |
|
6 |
| 1 bedroom |
|
53 |
| 2 bedrooms |
|
15 |
| 3 bedrooms |
|
6 |
| 4 bedrooms |
|
8 |
ADR scales steeply with size in San Rafael — from $119 for studios to $653 for 4-bedroom properties. The sharpest jump occurs between 2-bedrooms ($226) and 3-bedrooms ($498), suggesting that larger family- or group-oriented properties command a significant nightly premium in this market.
| Size | Trend | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Studio |
|
$119 |
| 1 bedroom |
|
$141 |
| 2 bedrooms |
|
$226 |
| 3 bedrooms |
|
$498 |
| 4 bedrooms |
|
$653 |
Three-bedroom listings deliver the highest RevPAN at $235, far outpacing the next-best 4-bedroom category at $176 and the overall market average of $122. Studios and 1-bedrooms cluster much lower at $73 and $66 respectively, indicating that mid-to-large properties generate the strongest returns per available night after accounting for occupancy.
| Size | Trend | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Studio |
|
$73 |
| 1 bedroom |
|
$66 |
| 2 bedrooms |
|
$79 |
| 3 bedrooms |
|
$235 |
| 4 bedrooms |
|
$176 |
Studios lead occupancy at 61%, followed by 1-bedrooms and 3-bedrooms tied at 47%, while 4-bedroom properties lag at just 27%. The higher fill rates for smaller units offer more predictable cash flow, but the lower occupancy of larger homes is offset by their substantially higher nightly rates.
| Size | Trend | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Studio |
|
61% |
| 1 bedroom |
|
47% |
| 2 bedrooms |
|
35% |
| 3 bedrooms |
|
47% |
| 4 bedrooms |
|
27% |
Three-bedroom properties are the clear top earners at $9,785 per month — more than four times what a 1-bedroom generates ($2,299) and nearly $2,200 more than 4-bedrooms ($7,624). Studios bring in the least at $1,788 monthly, confirming that mid-size to larger configurations drive the bulk of revenue in San Rafael.
| Size | Trend | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Studio |
|
$1,788 |
| 1 bedroom |
|
$2,299 |
| 2 bedrooms |
|
$3,740 |
| 3 bedrooms |
|
$9,785 |
| 4 bedrooms |
|
$7,624 |
Annually, 3-bedroom listings generate $117,420 on average — more than triple the 2-bedroom figure of $44,880 and over four times the 1-bedroom average of $27,594. Four-bedroom properties also perform well at $91,491 per year, though the 3-bedroom sweet spot offers the best return potential for investors considering the favorable RevPAN and relatively limited supply.
| Size | Trend | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Studio |
|
$21,457 |
| 1 bedroom |
|
$27,594 |
| 2 bedrooms |
|
$44,880 |
| 3 bedrooms |
|
$117,420 |
| 4 bedrooms |
|
$91,491 |
Parking is nearly universal at 98% of listings, reflecting a car-dependent market, while kitchen access (87%) and patio or balcony space (73%) round out the top three. The prevalence of workspaces (67%) and self check-in (70%) signals strong demand from remote workers and independent travelers who expect a home-like, low-friction experience.
| Amenity | Trend | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Parking |
|
98% |
| Kitchen |
|
87% |
| Patio or Balcony |
|
73% |
| Self Check-in |
|
70% |
| Outdoor Furniture |
|
69% |
| Workspace |
|
67% |
| Dryer |
|
64% |
| Washer |
|
62% |
| Backyard |
|
56% |
| BBQ Grill |
|
35% |
| Pets |
|
33% |
| Hot Tub |
|
16% |
| Pool |
|
13% |
| Waterfront |
|
12% |
Rabbu's ROI Score is a proprietary metric that evaluates short-term rental investment potential based on multiple factors.
| Factor | San Rafael Performance | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue-to-Price Ratio | Below average | 40% |
| Occupancy Stability | Above average | 30% |
| Market Growth Trend | Average | 15% |
| Supply/Demand Balance | Below average | 15% |
San Rafael's ROI score of 42 out of 100 places it in the Competitive Opportunity band, reflecting a market where strong demand fundamentals — particularly above-average occupancy stability — are offset by a below-average revenue-to-price ratio driven by Marin County's high home values. Supply/demand balance also trends below average, with 113% year-over-year listing growth introducing more competition. Investors should pair this data with thorough local regulatory research and focus on property types — especially 3-bedroom homes — that meaningfully outperform the market average.
Understanding local STR regulations is essential before investing in San Rafael. Here's the current regulatory landscape:
The City of San Rafael and Marin County may require short-term rental hosts to obtain a business license or STR permit before listing their property. Investors should verify current permit requirements directly with San Rafael's planning or community development department, as California municipalities frequently update their STR regulations.
Common restrictions in California STR markets include occupancy limits, minimum-stay requirements, noise ordinances, and parking mandates. Some neighborhoods may also be subject to HOA rules that limit or prohibit short-term rentals, and permit caps could apply depending on zoning — investors should confirm all applicable restrictions before purchasing.
Short-term rental operators in San Rafael are typically subject to transient occupancy tax (TOT), and California also imposes state sales tax obligations on lodging. Platforms like Airbnb often collect and remit some of these taxes on behalf of hosts, but operators should confirm their full tax responsibilities with a local tax professional.
Regulations subject to change. Always verify with local authorities before purchasing. A Rabbu partner agent specializing in San Rafael can provide current regulatory guidance.
Financing an Airbnb investment in San Rafael requires lenders who understand STR income. Rabbu partner lenders offer:
"Over the next 12–18 months, expect seasonal patterns similar to recent trends: summer months should continue generating monthly revenue in the $3,200–$4,000 range, while winter dips to around $1,900–$2,000 are likely. The market's above-average occupancy stability suggests steady baseline demand, and ADR could see modest growth of 1–3% if supply growth levels off. Investors should keep an eye on the 113% year-over-year increase in active listings, which signals rising competition that may temper revenue gains for less-differentiated properties."
— Rabbu Market Analysis Team
Rabbu provides Airbnb and short-term rental market data and statistics across the United States. Our mission is to empower investors with accurate insights and easy-to-use tools, so they can confidently identify and act on the best opportunities in the Airbnb market.
Rabbu proprietary analytics as of Apr, 27 2026 and Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) as of Mar, 17 2026. Revenue projections are estimates based on comparable properties and do not guarantee future performance. Data reflects trailing 12-month averages as of the dates noted and may not capture very recent market shifts. Local regulations, HOA rules, and tax obligations vary and should be independently verified before investing.
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