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View PropertiesAs of Apr, 27 2026
Rabbu ROI Score
Winchester presents a competitive opportunity: investor interest and demand are strong, but higher prices or tighter competition may require more selective deal sourcing.
Winchester, VA is a small but growing short-term rental market with 59 active Airbnb listings and an average annual revenue of $23,253 per property. While the average daily rate of $146 sits well below the Virginia state average of $339, occupancy at 35% slightly edges out the statewide figure, suggesting steady — if modest — demand. The market's 176% year-over-year growth in active listings signals rising investor interest, though competition is tightening and deal sourcing will need to be strategic.
According to Rabbu market data, the Winchester short-term rental market shows:
| Metric | Context | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Active Airbnb Listings | As of Apr, 27 2026 | 59 |
| Average Daily Rate (ADR) | vs. $339 state avg. | $146 |
| Average Occupancy Rate | vs. 34% state avg. | 35% |
| RevPAN | ADR * Occupancy Rate | $51 |
| Average Monthly Revenue | Historical 12-month average | $1,937 |
| Average Annual Revenue | Historical 12-month average | $23,253 |
Data sources: Rabbu proprietary analytics as of Apr, 27 2026 and Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) as of Mar, 17 2026.
Winchester attracts STR investors with its above-average occupancy stability and proximity to the Shenandoah Valley's tourism corridor, though tighter competition and higher property prices require careful deal selection.
Key investment factors
"Winchester presents a competitive opportunity for STR investors who are willing to be selective. Revenue potential is real — 3-bedroom properties can generate around $30,624 annually — but with average home values at $581,245, the revenue-to-price ratio falls below average, meaning not every property will pencil out. Seasonality is noticeable: July peaks at $2,717 in average monthly revenue while February dips to $1,310, creating roughly a 2:1 spread between the strongest and weakest months. Investors who target well-located 2- or 3-bedroom properties and price dynamically through shoulder seasons stand the best chance of outperforming the market average."
— Rabbu Market Analysis Team
Winchester's revenue pattern shows clear seasonality, peaking in July at $2,717 and bottoming out in February at $1,310 — a spread of over $1,400. A secondary autumn bump in October ($2,217) suggests fall tourism plays a meaningful role, giving investors two distinct earning windows to optimize around.
| Month | Trend | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| January |
|
$1,375 |
| February |
|
$1,310 |
| March |
|
$1,493 |
| April |
|
$2,007 |
| May |
|
$2,155 |
| June |
|
$2,190 |
| July |
|
$2,717 |
| August |
|
$2,408 |
| September |
|
$1,915 |
| October |
|
$2,217 |
| November |
|
$1,878 |
| December |
|
$1,583 |
One-bedroom units dominate the supply with 27 listings (46% of the market), followed by 16 two-bedroom and just 10 three-bedroom properties. The relatively thin supply of 3-bedroom listings could represent an opportunity for investors, particularly since those units generate the highest monthly revenue.
| Size | Trend | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 bedroom |
|
27 |
| 2 bedrooms |
|
16 |
| 3 bedrooms |
|
10 |
ADR rises predictably with property size, from $112 for 1-bedroom units to $192 for 3-bedrooms — a 71% premium. The jump from 1-bedroom to 2-bedroom ($112 to $148) delivers a strong rate increase without the higher acquisition cost of larger homes, making 2-bedrooms an appealing middle ground.
| Size | Trend | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 bedroom |
|
$112 |
| 2 bedrooms |
|
$148 |
| 3 bedrooms |
|
$192 |
Two-bedroom properties lead in RevPAN at $59, narrowly edging out 3-bedrooms at $58, while 1-bedroom units trail at $38. This indicates that 2-bedroom listings deliver the best revenue efficiency after accounting for occupancy, making them the sweet spot for income per available night.
| Size | Trend | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 bedroom |
|
$38 |
| 2 bedrooms |
|
$59 |
| 3 bedrooms |
|
$58 |
Two-bedroom listings boast the highest occupancy at 40%, a full 10 percentage points above 3-bedroom units at 30%, with 1-bedrooms splitting the difference at 34%. For cash-flow-conscious investors, the 2-bedroom segment offers the most predictable booking frequency in Winchester.
| Size | Trend | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 bedroom |
|
34% |
| 2 bedrooms |
|
40% |
| 3 bedrooms |
|
30% |
Monthly revenue climbs with property size, from $1,501 for 1-bedrooms to $2,552 for 3-bedroom listings, though the gap between 2-bedrooms ($2,008) and 3-bedrooms is relatively modest at $544. This suggests diminishing marginal returns as you scale up, especially when factoring in higher acquisition and operating costs for larger properties.
| Size | Trend | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 bedroom |
|
$1,501 |
| 2 bedrooms |
|
$2,008 |
| 3 bedrooms |
|
$2,552 |
Three-bedroom properties deliver the highest annual revenue at $30,624, outpacing 2-bedrooms ($24,100) by about 27% and 1-bedrooms ($18,023) by 70%. However, given that 2-bedroom units achieve nearly identical RevPAN with higher occupancy, they may offer a more reliable return relative to purchase price for many investors.
| Size | Trend | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 bedroom |
|
$18,023 |
| 2 bedrooms |
|
$24,100 |
| 3 bedrooms |
|
$30,624 |
Parking (92%) and a full kitchen (90%) are near-universal expectations among Winchester's Airbnb guests, while self check-in (78%) and laundry facilities (76%) round out the top tier. Outdoor amenities like backyards (58%) and patios (53%) are common differentiators, and the relatively low prevalence of hot tubs (10%) signals a potential way to stand out in this market.
| Amenity | Trend | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Parking |
|
92% |
| Kitchen |
|
90% |
| Self Check-in |
|
78% |
| Dryer |
|
76% |
| Washer |
|
76% |
| Workspace |
|
70% |
| Backyard |
|
58% |
| Patio or Balcony |
|
53% |
| Outdoor Furniture |
|
46% |
| Pets |
|
36% |
| BBQ Grill |
|
25% |
| Hot Tub |
|
10% |
| EV Charger |
|
7% |
| Lake Access |
|
3% |
Rabbu's ROI Score is a proprietary metric that evaluates short-term rental investment potential based on multiple factors.
| Factor | Winchester Performance | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue-to-Price Ratio | Below average | 40% |
| Occupancy Stability | Above average | 30% |
| Market Growth Trend | Below average | 15% |
| Supply/Demand Balance | Average | 15% |
Winchester's ROI score of 51 out of 100 places it in the "Competitive Opportunity" band, meaning the market has genuine demand but requires disciplined deal sourcing to achieve attractive returns. Occupancy stability scores above average, which is encouraging for cash-flow consistency, but the below-average revenue-to-price ratio — driven by home values near $581,245 against $23,253 in average annual revenue — means investors need to find properties priced below the market median or capable of outperforming on rates. We recommend pairing this data with thorough local regulatory research and a clear understanding of Winchester's zoning and permitting landscape before committing capital.
Understanding local STR regulations is essential before investing in Winchester. Here's the current regulatory landscape:
The City of Winchester and the state of Virginia may require short-term rental operators to obtain a business license or STR permit before listing a property. Investors should verify current registration requirements directly with the Winchester city government and the Virginia Department of Taxation before purchasing.
Common restrictions in Virginia STR markets include occupancy limits, minimum stay requirements, noise ordinances, and parking provisions. HOA rules can also impose additional limitations — especially in planned communities — so investors should review any applicable covenants. Some municipalities in Virginia have also explored permit caps, making it important to check Winchester's most current local ordinances.
Short-term rental hosts in Virginia are typically subject to state and local transient occupancy taxes, as well as applicable sales tax. Major platforms like Airbnb often collect and remit some of these taxes on behalf of hosts, but operators should confirm their full obligations with the Virginia Department of Taxation to ensure compliance.
Regulations subject to change. Always verify with local authorities before purchasing. A Rabbu partner agent specializing in Winchester can provide current regulatory guidance.
Financing an Airbnb investment in Winchester requires lenders who understand STR income. Rabbu partner lenders offer:
"Over the next 12–18 months, Winchester's STR market is expected to see continued supply growth as investor awareness increases, which could put mild downward pressure on occupancy unless demand keeps pace. Seasonal patterns suggest revenue will concentrate in the summer months — particularly July and August — with softer winter performance, so investors should plan cash reserves accordingly. ADR may see modest increases in the range of 1–3% as hosts refine pricing strategies, and occupancy is likely to settle around 33–37% market-wide. Investors entering now should focus on 2-bedroom configurations, which currently offer the strongest balance of occupancy and revenue efficiency."
— Rabbu Market Analysis Team
Rabbu provides Airbnb and short-term rental market data and statistics across the United States. Our mission is to empower investors with accurate insights and easy-to-use tools, so they can confidently identify and act on the best opportunities in the Airbnb market.
Rabbu proprietary analytics as of Apr, 27 2026 and Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) as of Mar, 17 2026. Revenue projections are estimates based on comparable properties and do not guarantee future performance. Data reflects trailing 12-month averages as of April 2026 and may not capture very recent market shifts. Local regulations, HOA restrictions, and tax obligations vary — investors should verify all requirements with local authorities before purchasing.
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